US$Jpy had a choppy session on Friday (111.06/71) and closed pretty much in the middle, at 111.50.
Judging from the momentum indicators we can expect more of the same early in the week, and with Japan on holiday from Wednesday onward, interest in the Yen will be rather diminished this week. While the dailies look constructive, the short term momentum indicators look heavy so another choppy session seems likely today. The initial support should arrive at 111.30 and then at around 111.00/10. Below 111.00, which seems a little unlikely today, could see a run towards 110.85, 110.50 and to 110.35, which should be strong support if/when we see it. On the topside, good resistance will be seen at 111.70/75, a break of which could see a quick run to 112.00 and possibly to 112.15 although again, this seems unlikely to be seen today.
Given the look of the short term momentum indicators, selling rallies is mildly preferred, but without looking for too much. Longer term traders will be looking to buy any decent dips. Use 111/112 as a guide, or more likely 111.10/75.
Economic data highlights will include:
M: Nikkei Mfg PMI, Consumer Confidence Index
T: BOJ Minutes, Markit Services PMI
W: Holiday
T: Holiday
F: Holiday
All content on this website, www.fxcharts.com.au (FX Charts PL) is a personal view only and offers absolutely no guarantee as to the correctness or otherwise of that opinion. The content here is of a “general nature” only and does not constitute personal or investment advice. The FX Charts website is not an inducement to trade Foreign Exchange (FX). No liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss or damage that may result, directly or indirectly, from any , comment, opinion, information or omission, whether negligent or otherwise, within the FX Charts Website. The information and any opinion or outlook expressed in this commentary may be based on assumptions or market conditions and may be liable change at any time, without notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to gains above 1.0750 after US data
EUR/USD manages to hold in positive territory above 1.0750 despite retreating from the fresh multi-week high it set above 1.0800 earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to find demand following the weaker-than-expected NFP data.
GBP/USD declines below 1.2550 following NFP-inspired upsurge
GBP/USD struggles to preserve its bullish momentum and trades below 1.2550 in the American session. Earlier in the day, the disappointing April jobs report from the US triggered a USD selloff and allowed the pair to reach multi-week highs above 1.2600.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,300 despite falling US yields
Gold stays on the back foot below $2,300 in the American session on Friday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in negative territory below 4.6% after weak US data but the improving risk mood doesn't allow XAU/USD to gain traction.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Should you buy BTC here? Premium
Bitcoin (BTC) price shows signs of a potential reversal but lacks confirmation, which has divided the investor community into two – those who are buying the dips and those who are expecting a further correction.
Week ahead – BoE and RBA decisions headline a calm week
Bank of England meets on Thursday, unlikely to signal rate cuts. Reserve Bank of Australia could maintain a higher-for-longer stance. Elsewhere, Bank of Japan releases summary of opinions.