|

USDJPY: The 4 hour charts are neutral

US$Jpy saw a slide to 110.87 on Friday, but well supported by buyers  at the previous lows around 110.85, the pair recovered to finish the week at 111.30.

The momentum indicators are mixed/neutral again at the start of the week and another choppy, rangebound session, largely confined to the 111/112 area would not surprise. While the dailies remain rather negative the hourly charts may be hinting at a mild squeeze to the topside, and further short term gains could see another move towards Friday’s high of 111.84 and then to 112.00/10, which would appear to be toppish for Monday if we get there. Beyond that though leads to 112.30 and then to 112.75, which might be a decent sell area if we ever get there.

On the downside, below 111.00 would lead back to 110.85, which should be strong, and 110.60, ahead of last Thursday’s low of 110.23. The 4 hour charts are neutral; me too. There are better things to trade while the Yen is chopping around like this.

Economic data highlights will include:

M:

T: Unemployment, Retail Trade

W: Housing Starts, Construction Orders

T:  Foreign Bond/Stocks Investment, Nikkei Mfg PMI

F:

Author

Jim Langlands

Jim Langlands

FX Charts

Jim Langlands began his trading career in the commodities markets in London in 1976, before moving to Australia in 1979 to work as a floor trader on the Sydney Futures Exchange.

More from Jim Langlands
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.