Dukascopy Bank Team
Dukascopy Bank SA
On Thursday, the US Dollar was driven by bulls that pushed the given currency through the 100– and 55-hour SMAs and the monthly PP. Nevertheless, a resistance cluster formed by the weekly PP and the 200-hour SMA proved to be a solid upper limit that reversed the rate down to a relatively similar level as on Thursday morning. The failure to reach the upper boundary of the symmetrical triangle indicates that this pattern may not be strong enough any longer to confine the pair in its bounds. Thus, it is quite likely that the current momentum downwards is to persist until the weekly S1 at 110.48, possibly. Meanwhile, the upper limit could be the 100-hour SMA and the monthly PP or in case of solid upside risks resulting from US fundamentals —even the aforementioned 200-hour SMA circa 111.70.
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