USDJPY Analysis: Anchored around the 200-day SMA

"We still think the dollar is going to strengthen over time based on the outlook for US monetary policy... but for now, with markets not heavily focused on monetary policy, it could explain this consolidation (for the greenback)."

– Wells Fargo (based on Business Recorder)

  • Pair's Outlook
    The US Dollar managed to appreciate against the Yen on Wednesday, with the monthly S1 limiting upside volatility. Ultimately, trade closed in front of the 200-day SMA, but this level remains an unreliable resistance. Nevertheless, the Buck is still unlikely to post significant gains, as supply, represented by the monthly S1, is still intact. However, the RSI indicator suggests the Greenback is to keep recovering, thus, preserving the descending channel pattern. Overall, the majority of signals are bullish, despite other bearish signs. A lot of uncertainty is currently surrounding the USD/JPY, especially since political events and factors continue to pressure the US currency.

  • Traders' Sentiment
    Nearly three quarters (74%) of all open positions are long today, whereas 57% of all pending orders are to acquire the Buck.



Interested in USD/JPY technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 110.06
    2. R2 109.63
    3. R1 109.25
  1. PP 108.81
    1. S1 108.43
    2. S2 108.00
    3. S3 107.62


This overview can be used only for informational purposes. Dukascopy SA is not responsible for any losses arising from any investment based on any recommendation, forecast or other information herein contained.