Yesterday’s signals were not triggered, as although the support level at 0.9922 held to the pip, this did not take place until after London closed.

Today’s USD/CHF Signals

Risk 0.75%.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm London time today.

Short Trades

  • Go short following a bearish price action reversal upon the next touch of 0.9978 or 1.0010.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Long Trades

  • Go long following a bullish price action reversal on the H1 time frame immediately upon the next touch of 0.9922 or 0.9905.

  • Put the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Move the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the price reaches 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/CHF Analysis

I took no directional bias yesterday, but I noted that a bullish bounce at 0.9922 still looked attractive, and this level has held cleanly and precisely as a low. The technical picture now shows the price caught in a balance of indecision between a bullish double bottom at 0.9920, and a medium-term or even long-term heavy bearish trend line and resistance which is now below the parity level, close to 0.9978. I again take no directional bias, I think reversals at either 0.9922 or 0.9978 would look equally interesting as potentially good trades.

USDCHF

There is nothing important due today concerning the CHF. Regarding the USD, there will be a release of PPI data at 1:30pm London time.

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