|

USD/TRY Outlook: Turkish lira hit new 2019 low on expectations for Istanbul vote rule

USDTRY

The USDTRY advanced through psychological 6 barrier on fresh bullish acceleration on Monday and hit new 2019 high at 6.0393 on Monday. Fresh lira's weakness was boosted by political turmoil, as governing AK party requested re-run of Municipal election in Istanbul, where the party was defeated. Strong uncertainty on political instability, as well as measures that government takes in order to stabilize the economy, but delay's key structural reforms, prompted investors from lira into foreign currencies that keeps Turkish currency under increased pressure. Fresh advance of the pair eyes key Fibo barrier at 6.1198 (50% retracement of pullback from new record high at 7.1074 to 5.1323), violation of which is expected to generate strong bullish signal for extension of recovery rally from 5.1323 (29 Nov low). Interim barriers lay at 6.0467 (Fibo 138.2% projection) and round-figure 6.10 level. Bullish studies support scenario, with dips seen as positioning for further advance. Rising 10SMA (5.9364) offers solid support which should keep the downside protected.

Res: 6.0393; 6.0467; 6.1000; 6.1198
Sup: 6.0000; 5.9779; 5.9540; 5.9364

USDTRY

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bears await break below 100-day SMA support near 1.1665 area

The EUR/USD pair attracts heavy selling for the second straight day and dives to a nearly four-week trough, around the 1.1670 region, during the Asian session on Monday. Bearish traders now await a sustained break below the 100-day Simple Moving Average before positioning for an extension of the recent pullback from a three-month top, or levels just above the 1.1800 mark touched on December 24.

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3400 near 50-day EMA

GBP/USD extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around 1.3420 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 53 has eased from near overbought, indicating that momentum has cooled while remaining above the midline. RSI holds above 50, keeping a modest bullish bias.

Gold on fire at the start of the week on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold regains upside traction early Monday as flight to safety prevails on Venezuela turmoil. The US Dollar finds strong haven demand, caps Gold’s upside as focus shifts to US jobs data. Gold’s daily technical setup suggests that more upside remains in the offing.

Bulls firmly in control as Bitcoin breaks $93K, Ethereum and Ripple extend gains

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple extended their rallies on Monday, gaining more than 4%, 6%, and 12%, respectively, in the previous week. The top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization could continue to outperform, with bulls in control of the momentum.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Meme Coins Price Prediction: Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, Pepe rally on Venezuela’s shadow BTC reserve

Meme coins such as Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe are leading the cryptocurrency market rally driven by the US cross-border operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. Dogecoin extends its gain for the fifth consecutive day while SHIB and PEPE take a pause.