|

USD/JPY: US dollar continues its downtrend with lower highs and lower lows

What happened at the end of last week trading session

USD/JPY: The US dollar continued its downtrend with lower highs and lower lows towards the end of last week's session and attempted on many occasions to break out of the falling wedge price pattern to the upside but was unsuccessful and ended the last session of the week with a lower high at 110.888.

What is going on now

USD/JPY: The US dollar started the trading session with another lower low at 110.430 and shot up and try to test the previous close at 110.774 but ran out of gas and retreated to 110.488 support creating another higher low which is a strong Bearish trend.

My thoughts on what may happen

1. USD/JPY: The current data for the pair has now created a falling wedge price pattern, and we may continue to see prices contract within the price pattern until it breaks out. The US dollar is currently trading at 110.393 in a very Bearish manner both in short and medium trend. The Pair would need to maintain activities above 110.488 to stay in the wedge price pattern.

2. I suspect that short sellers are still in play, so its best to stay away from any long position and keep monitoring until you get any signals to consider a long trade position.

3. Current support  - 110.488, 110.300

4. Resistance - 110. 564, 110.680, 110.774, 110.899

5.  It is a good practice to apply a stop loss to all your trades to protect your capital in case the market moves against your position.

The four hours price chart highlights the direction of the trend and the support and resistance price level

Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

More from Denis Joeli Fatiaki
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens as US jobs data trims Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day near 1.1860 during the early European session on Thursday. Traders will keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index inflation report. 

GBP/USD bullish outlook prevails above 1.3600, UK GDP data looms

The GBP/USD pair gains ground near 1.3635, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. The preliminary reading of UK Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter will be closely watched later on Thursday. The UK economy is estimated to grow 0.2% QoQ in Q4, versus 0.1% in Q1. 

Gold down but not out as focus shifts to more US data

Gold is back in the red near $5,050 early Thursday, having faced strong offers at around the $5,100 mark once again. Buyers keep a close eye on the mid-tier US Jobless Claims data and US-Iran geopolitical developments to regain control.

UK GDP set to post weak growth as markets rise bets on March rate cut

Markets will be watching closely on Thursday, when the United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics will release the advance estimate of Q4 Gross Domestic Product. If the data land in line with consensus, the UK economy would have continued to grow at an annualised pace of 1.2%, compared with 1.3% recorded the previous year. 

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.