USD/JPY outlook: Bears hold grip and crack pivotal support zone

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

USD/JPY

USDJPY remains firmly in red and cracked pivotal Fibo level at 140.48 (61.8% retracement of 127.22/161.95), the upper boundary of 140.48/00 key support zone, after renewed weakness in past two days fully offset positive signal from Wednesday’s long-tailed daily candlestick.

The pair is on track for another weekly loss, with long upper shadow on weekly candlestick, pointing to strong offers and adding to downside prospects.

Technical picture on daily chart is firmly bearish (strong negative momentum / price weighed by descending daily Ichimoku cloud / MA’s in bearish setup with formation of 55/200DMA death-cross, reinforcing negative outlook).

Firm break of 140.48/40 pivots will be increasingly bearish and risk extension towards 137.23 trough (July 2023 low).

Falling 10DMA (143.22) should cap extended upticks and keep larger bears intact.

Res: 141.68; 142.08; 143.04; 143.22.
Sup: 140.25; 140.00; 138.60; 137.23.

Interested in USD/JPY technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 143.99
2. R2 143.52
3. R1 142.67
PP 142.2
1. S1 141.35
2. S2 140.88
3. S3 140.03

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data.

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday.

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.