|premium|

USD/JPY Forecast: Demand for safety boosts the yen

USD/JPY Current price: 109.74

  • Japan's June Corporate Service Price Index beat expectations by printing at 1.4% YoY.
  • US Treasury yields fell amid investors rushing into safety ahead of the Fed.
  • USD/JPY has lost the 110.00 level, could keep falling in the near-term.

The USD/JPY pair broke lower on Tuesday, posting an intraday low of 109.57 to finish the day around 109.70. The pair was under selling pressure all day, accelerating its decline after the release of tepid US macroeconomic data. Also, US government bond yields edged lower, with that on the 10-year Treasury note falling to 1.229%.

Japan published the June Corporate Service Price Index, which beat expectations by printing at 1.4% YoY. Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda was on the wires, and he said that targeting 2% inflation has resulted in Japan no longer being in deflation, although his comments passed unnoticed. On Wednesday, the country will publish the May Leading Economic Index previously estimated at 102.6.

USD/JPY short-term technical outlook

The USD/JPY pair has room to extend its decline in the near-term. The 4-hour chart shows that it has accelerated south below all of its moving averages, with the 20 SMA turning lower between the longer ones. Technical indicators reached oversold readings, holding nearby as the American session comes to an end, suggesting persistent selling interest.

 Support levels: 109.55 109.20 108.70

Resistance levels: 109.80 110.25 110.70

 View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD extends its optimism past 1.1900

EUR/USD retains a firm underlying bid, surpassing the 1.1900 mark as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. The pair’s persistent uptrend comes as the US Dollar remains on the defensive, with traders staying cautious ahead of upcoming US NFP prints and CPI data.
 

GBP/USD hits three-day peaks, targets 1.3700

GBP/USD is clocking decent gains at the start of the week, advancing to three-day highs near 1.3670 and building on Friday’s solid performance. The better tone in the British Pound comes on the back of the intense sekk-off in the Greenback and despite re-emerging signs of a fresh government crisis in the UK.

Gold picks up pace, retargets $5,100

Gold gathers fresh steam, challenging daily highs en route to the $5,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Monday’s session. The precious metal finds support from fresh signs of continued buying by the PBoC, while expectations that the Fed could lean more dovish also collaborate with the uptick.

XRP struggles around $1.40 despite institutional inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Ripple exposed to volatility amid low retail interest, modest fund inflows

Ripple (XRP) is extending its intraday decline to around $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid growing pressure from the retail market and risk-off sentiment that continues to keep investors on the sidelines.