|

USD/JPY analysis: intraday advance falling short of supporting more gains ahead

USD/JPY Current price: 112.41

  • Yen remains strong amid prevalent sour sentiment.
  • Upbeat growth US data limited the intraday decline of USD/JPY.

After Tuesday's false bearish breakout, the USD/JPY pair extended its recovery up to 112.73, from where the pair began retreating on the back of weaker equities and despite strong US growth data. This last, at least, maintained the decline limited, with the pair now heading into the Asian opening around 112.45. Adding pressure on the JPY, US Treasury yields slid, following the release of US weaker-than-expected housing figures. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.12%, after being as high as 3.17%, holding at daily lows by the end of the day.

The preliminary Japanese Nikkei Manufacturing PMI for October came in at 53.1, beating the previous 52.5. The August Leading Index in the country rose by more-than-estimated, printing 104.5 from the previous 103.9, also surpassing the preliminary estimate of 104.4. The Coincident Index, however, which reflect the current economic activity, came in at 116.7, below the initial estimate of 117.5, although above the previous 116.1. There won't be relevant releases coming from Japan this Thursday.

From a technical point of view, the 4 hours chart shows that the early advance was contained by the 200 SMA, while the 100 SMA continues nearing the larger one from above, and as technical indicators head lower within negative ground, indicating that the pair could extend its decline during the upcoming sessions, particularly if the market's mood remains sour. The high set this week at 112.89 is a key resistance, with gains beyond it indicating easing selling interest.

Support levels: 112.15 111.85 111.60  

Resistance levels: 112.90 113.20 113.50  

View Live Chart for the USD/JPY

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Gains remain capped by $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus attention on the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline as the US Dollar alternates gains with losses at the end of the week.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook
Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone
Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.