|

USD/JPY analysis: bulls with little reasons to go on

USD/JPY Current price: 113.30

  • US equities reversed early gains, Treasury yields also gave up.
  • Japanese data keeps disappointing, capping yen's advance.

The USD/JPY pair extended its advance to a fresh weekly high of 113.46 but finally ended the day flat around 113.30. The pair got a boost from an uptick in Treasury yields and rising equities during the first half of the day, but that positive momentum faded in the US afternoon, with the  yield on the benchmark 10-year note peaking at 2.89% before trimming daily gains to finish at around 2.86%, barely up for the day. Japanese data released at the beginning of the day was quite disappointing, as the Q4 BSI Large Manufacturing Index resulted at 5.5, shrinking from the previous 6.5, while Machine Tool Orders plunged 16.8% according to November preliminary estimates, following a 0.7% slide in October.  Japan will release this Wednesday, November the Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index, seen down 0.1% MoM, and the Tertiary Industry Index for the same month, seen improving by 0.9%. October Machinery Orders will also be out, seen posting a whopping 10.5% advance after an 18.3% decline in the previous month.

The pair heads into the Asian opening with a modestly positive tone, as technical indicators are developing within positive ground and near daily highs, although without directional strength, while the pair holds a handful of pips above its 100 and 200 SMA, both confined to a tight 10 pips' range and directionless. The positive tone is being reinforced by the fact that the pair has bounced sharply from its 100 DMA after a second attempt to break lower. Buying interest is now aligned at around 113.00, with the bearish potential set to increase only on a break below 112.55.

Support levels: 112.90 112.55 112.20 

Resistance levels: 113.40 113.75 114.00

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.