|

USD falling on tariffs, beautiful bills, and weak ISM – Forex trading long on NZD/USD [Video]

USD is weaker due to a new tariff on steel and heightened geopolitical issues.

The biggest victim was silver with a huge jump in price. 

So why is USD so weak now?

Well, the new US budget currently stuck in Congress could add $4 trillion to the debt, crazy unexpected new tariffs like the new 50% on steel, failing trade talks with China, and a weak ISM manufacturing number.

Should we expect a reversal?

If you believe in the TACO trade, then watch the news for a reversal in attitude at the White House and the corresponding reversal in USD.

If we move out to the daily chart on silver, we see that price action reached a key level of resistance.

Gold went through the same movement and, as a safe haven, should continue heading up.

But we will wait for a technical pullback to our trend channel and with our indicators.

We saw similar movement on USD currency pairs like NZDUSD and we will wait for a retracement here, as well, to trade with the trend.

You will find a similar situation with AUDUSD.

Price action on WTI opened on Monday with a gap and broke out of the descending triangle with the weaker dollar.

Watch your technicals and, more importantly, the news, as geopolitical and political events will affect the price of crude.

Author

Brad Alexander

Brad Alexander

FX Large Limited

Brad became fascinated with the Currency Markets from a young age and researched fundamental analysis.

More from Brad Alexander
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data. 

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.