Orlando Gutierrez
Learn 2 Trade
-
The DXY broke with a long term bull structure
-
FOMC delivers a very dovish statement
-
Trade war with China takes a toll at the US economy
The US Dollar index just broke with a very important long term bullish structure (blue trend line) after a very dovish FOMC statement delivered where the Fed dropped from statement previous language that it would 'be patient' on future policy adjustments and Bullard saying that he is open to rate cut if inflation still low after summer.
On the fundamental side, I see nothing but downside and I'm looking forward to the next meeting in July. Some oddsmakers put the probability of a rate cut by 25 basis points at more than 61% and a cut of 50 BP at 39% (CME, ZQN9)
On the technical side, we expected the $DXY to encounter support at the 95.85 level and right now it's bouncing from it. We expect a rally to the previous base around 96.50/96.80 for a continuation of the bearish move and a test of the 95 level.
Information on the Learn2.trade website and inside our Telegram Group is intended for educational purposes and is not to be construed as investment advice. Trading the financial markets carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, experience, and risk appetite. Only trade with money you are prepared to lose. Like any investment, there is a possibility that you could sustain losses of some or all of your investment whilst trading. You should seek independent advice before trading if you have any doubts. Past performance in the markets is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Learn2.trade takes no responsibility for loss incurred as a result of the content provided inside our Telegram Groups. By signing up as a member you acknowledge that we are not providing financial advice and that you are making the decision on the trades you place in the markets. We have no knowledge of the level of money you are trading with or the level of risk you are taking with each trade.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY pops and drops on BoJ's expected hold
USD/JPY reverses a knee-jerk spike to 142.80 and returns to the red below 142.50 after the Bank of Japan announced on Friday that it maintained the short-term rate target in the range of 0.15%-0.25%, as widely expected. Governor Ueda's press conference is next in focus.
AUD/USD bears attack 0.6800 amid PBOC's status-quo, cautious mood
AUD/USD attacks 0.6800 in Friday's Asian trading, extending its gradual retreat after the PBOC unexpectedly left mortgage lending rates unchanged in September. A cautious market mood also adds to the weight on the Aussie. Fedspeak eyed.
Gold consolidates near record high, bullish potential seems intact
Gold price regained positive traction on Thursday and rallied back closer to the all-time peak touched the previous day in reaction to the Federal Reserve's decision to start the policy easing cycle with an oversized rate cut.
Ethereum rallies over 6% following decision to split Pectra upgrade into two phases
In its Consensus Layer Call on Thursday, Ethereum developers decided to split the upcoming Pectra upgrade into two batches. The decision follows concerns about potential risks in shipping the previously approved series of Ethereum improvement proposals.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.