• The DXY broke with a long term bull structure

  • FOMC delivers a very dovish statement

  • Trade war with China takes a toll at the US economy

The US Dollar index just broke with a very important long term bullish structure (blue trend line) after a very dovish FOMC statement delivered where the Fed dropped from statement previous language that it would 'be patient' on future policy adjustments and Bullard saying that he is open to rate cut if inflation still low after summer.

On the fundamental side, I see nothing but downside and I'm looking forward to the next meeting in July. Some oddsmakers put the probability of a rate cut by 25 basis points at more than 61% and a cut of 50 BP at 39% (CME, ZQN9)

USD

 

On the technical side, we expected the $DXY to encounter support at the 95.85 level and right now it's bouncing from it. We expect a rally to the previous base around 96.50/96.80 for a continuation of the bearish move and a test of the 95 level.

Information on the Learn2.trade website and inside our Telegram Group is intended for educational purposes and is not to be construed as investment advice. Trading the financial markets carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, experience, and risk appetite. Only trade with money you are prepared to lose. Like any investment, there is a possibility that you could sustain losses of some or all of your investment whilst trading. You should seek independent advice before trading if you have any doubts. Past performance in the markets is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Learn2.trade takes no responsibility for loss incurred as a result of the content provided inside our Telegram Groups. By signing up as a member you acknowledge that we are not providing financial advice and that you are making the decision on the trades you place in the markets. We have no knowledge of the level of money you are trading with or the level of risk you are taking with each trade.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1180 following the Fed’s decision

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1180 following the Fed’s decision

EUR/USD now picks up extra pace and revisits the 1.1180 region after the Federal Reserve decided to cut its interest rates by 50 bps at its event on Wednesday.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD hits fresh tops near 1.3300 on weaker Dollar

GBP/USD hits fresh tops near 1.3300 on weaker Dollar

The Greenback is now accelerating its decline following the Fed’s decision to reduce its interest rates, sending GBP/USD to fresh tops in the 1.3290 zone.

GBP/USD News
Gold clinches a record high near $2,600 ahead of Powell

Gold clinches a record high near $2,600 ahead of Powell

Prices of Gold gather extra steam and hit an all-time top near the $2,600 mark per ounce troy as investors continue to assess the 50 bps rate cut by the Federal Reseve and warm up for the usual press conference by Chief Jerome Powell.

Gold News
Federal Reserve set for first interest-rate reduction in four years amid growing bets of jumbo cut

Federal Reserve set for first interest-rate reduction in four years amid growing bets of jumbo cut

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lower the policy rate after the September meeting. The revised Summary of Economic Projections and Fed Chairman Powell’s remarks could provide important clues about the rate outlook.

Read more
UK CPI set to grow at stable 2.2% in August ahead of BoE meeting

UK CPI set to grow at stable 2.2% in August ahead of BoE meeting

The United Kingdom Office for National Statistics will release August Consumer Price Index figures on Wednesday. Inflation, as measured by the CPI, is one of the main factors on which the Bank of England bases its monetary policy decision, meaning the data is considered a major mover of the Pound Sterling.

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures