The pair has broken down two strong supports. What’s next?
Fundamentals
The US dollar is loosening against the Chinese yuan. There are some obvious reasons for that movement. The first reason is the weak US dollar as the USA is suffering from the record resurgence in new cases. Investors are questioning its future economic recovery. The second reason is that, unlike the USA, China has just few new cases every day. Moreover, its last economic data was really encouraging. For instance, this Friday the Chinese Services PMI bet all estimates. It turned out 58.4, while the forecast was 53.8. That was a really good sign for the fast and sustained Chinese economic recovery, that pushed the CNH upward. However, Sino-American trade wars and coronavirus fears may weigh on USD/CNH in the future. Check out the US PMI at 17:00 MT time, it may change the whole market sentiment! If the data turns out better than the forecast, the USD can rise, otherwise-fall.
Technical tips
The Chinese yuan has been gaining for a fifth day straight. It managed to cross two strong support lines: the first one was at the 7.0525 level, that it has touched twice already, and the second one at the 200-day moving average at 7.0450. It surprised most analysts as the pair was trading in a range between 7.0920 and 7.0525 for quite a long time. Therefore, nobody expected that it would escape it today. USD/CNH will meet the next support at the low of March 13 at 7.0200. If it breaks it down, it may fall even deeper to 6.9650. Anyway, keep an eye on resistance levels at the 7.0920 and 7.100. Most analysts stay for selling USD/CNH before the US PMI report. However, after it, you should trade according to the report outcome. Also, monitor where the price will close today. If it closes below the support level at 7.0200, it will move down further.
Check the economic calendar
This post is written and submitted by FBS Markets for informational purposes only. In no way shall it be interpreted or construed to create any warranties of any kind, including an offer to buy or sell any currencies or other instruments. The views and ideas shared in this post are deemed reliable and based on the most up-to-date and trustworthy sources. However, the company does not take any responsibility for accuracy and completeness of the information, and the views expressed in the post may be subject to change without prior notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD fluctuates in daily range above 1.0600
EUR/USD struggles to gather directional momentum and continues to fluctuate above 1.0600 on Tuesday. The modest improvement seen in risk mood limits the US Dollar's gains as investors await Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech.
GBP/USD stabilizes near 1.2450 ahead of Powell speech
GBP/USD holds steady at around 1.2450 after recovering from the multi-month low it touched near 1.2400 in the European morning. The USD struggles to gather strength after disappointing housing data. Market focus shifts to Fed Chairman Powell's appearance.
Gold retreats to $2,370 as US yields push higher
Gold stages a correction on Tuesday and fluctuates in negative territory near $2,370 following Monday's upsurge. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield continues to push higher above 4.6% and makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gain traction.
XRP struggles below $0.50 resistance as SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit likely to enter final pretrial conference
XRP is struggling with resistance at $0.50 as Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are gearing up for the final pretrial conference on Tuesday at a New York court.
US outperformance continues
The economic divergence between the US and the rest of the world has become increasingly pronounced. The latest US inflation prints highlight that underlying inflation pressures seemingly remain stickier than in most other parts of the world.