|

USD/CHF faces rejection at 1 (100%) Arc – Potential decline toward 0.8040

US Dollar /Swiss Franc (USD/CHF): Arc cycle analysis

USDCHF

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 4h chart, USD/CHF is interacting with the 1 (100%) Resistance Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Bullish momentum has faded near this boundary, indicating that the upper Arc continues to cap upside expansion.

Chart

Market outlook

The 1 (100%) Arc continues to act as a resistance boundary, capping upside expansion. Bullish attempts have stalled beneath the Resistance Arc, indicating that the resistance remains intact.

If the Resistance Arc holds firm, a decline toward 0.8040 (0.786 Arc) becomes the primary scenario. Conversely, a sustained 4h close above the Arc would invalidate the bearish scenario, opening the path toward the next Resistance Arc.

Author

More from Mohamad Gharib
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.70 as RBA hike becomes a done deal

The Aussie Dollar dives 0.10% versus the US Dollar as market sentiment deteriorates amid fading US-Iran peace hopes, pushing US bond yields higher while US equity markets fall. Also, price action remained subdued, ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decision. The AUD/USD trades at 0.7016.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold tumbles below $4.150 as US bond yields, oil prices rise

Gold price falls to near $4,125 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising US Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes sap demand for the non-yielding metal.

HBAR, QNT rally as AI safety and tokenized deposits fuel institutional momentum​
Hedera (HBAR) and Quant (QNT) are among the crypto market’s strongest performers on Monday, as fresh developments around artificial intelligence (AI) and tokenized banking drive renewed institutional attention. HBAR briefly surged above $0.130 before settling around $0.123, gaining 30% over the past 24 hours.
The week ahead: A key moment for the global economy as threats rise

UK diesel hits a record, as economic concerns rise. The market expects an aggressive Fed rate hiking cycle, but is it necessary? Oil supply concerns ease, even as oil prices rise. What’s next for the AI trade.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.