USD/CHF faces rejection at 1 (100%) Arc – Potential decline toward 0.8040

Mohamad Gharib Independent Analyst

US Dollar /Swiss Franc (USD/CHF): Arc cycle analysis

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 4h chart, USD/CHF is interacting with the 1 (100%) Resistance Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Bullish momentum has faded near this boundary, indicating that the upper Arc continues to cap upside expansion.

Market outlook

The 1 (100%) Arc continues to act as a resistance boundary, capping upside expansion. Bullish attempts have stalled beneath the Resistance Arc, indicating that the resistance remains intact.

If the Resistance Arc holds firm, a decline toward 0.8040 (0.786 Arc) becomes the primary scenario. Conversely, a sustained 4h close above the Arc would invalidate the bearish scenario, opening the path toward the next Resistance Arc.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

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