|

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc (USDCHF) – Day Chart

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Structure: Orange Wave 2.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 3.

Next lower degree: Orange Wave 3.

Details: Orange wave 1 is complete, and now orange wave 2 is in progress and nearing its conclusion.

Wave cancel invalid level: 0.87486.

The Elliott Wave analysis for USDCHF on the daily chart shows that the market is in a counter-trend phase, moving in a corrective pattern. Currently, the structure under observation is orange wave 2, with the market positioned in navy blue wave 3. This suggests that the market is in a temporary correction before it resumes a more impulsive movement.

Orange wave 1 has already been completed, and now orange wave 2 is unfolding. This correction appears to be nearing its end, indicating that the market may soon transition into orange wave 3. Once orange wave 2 completes, it is expected that the market will experience a stronger directional move, potentially continuing or reversing the current trend.

The next lower degree wave, orange wave 3, is anticipated to begin following the completion of orange wave 2. Traders are closely watching this transition, as it is expected to shift the market out of its corrective phase and into a more decisive trend. This upcoming phase is critical for determining the future direction of the USDCHF.

A wave cancellation level has been set at 0.87486. If the price drops to or below this level, the current wave count will be invalid, meaning the corrective wave structure will need to be reassessed. As long as the price remains above this invalidation level, the wave count holds, and the market is expected to move from orange wave 2 into orange wave 3.

In summary, the USDCHF is currently in the corrective phase of orange wave 2, which is nearing its end. The next expected move is into orange wave 3, assuming the price does not fall below 0.87486.

USDCHF

USD/CHF Four-hour chart analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Structure: Orange Wave 2.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 3.

Next lower degree: Orange Wave 3.

Details: Orange wave 1 is complete, and orange wave 2 is currently unfolding and nearing its end.

Wave cancel invalid level: 0.87486.

The Elliott Wave analysis for USDCHF on the 4-hour chart indicates the market is moving in a counter-trend phase, operating in a corrective mode. The structure under analysis is orange wave 2, with the market positioned in navy blue wave 3, suggesting a correction within a larger trend. Orange wave 2 remains in progress.

Orange wave 1 appears to have completed, and now orange wave 2 is actively developing. The analysis suggests that orange wave 2 is approaching its conclusion, indicating that the market could soon transition into orange wave 3. This next phase would likely lead to a more impulsive move, resulting in stronger directional momentum once the correction finishes.

The next lower degree involves orange wave 3, which is expected to begin following the completion of orange wave 2. As the correction of orange wave 2 winds down, traders are watching for a potential impulsive wave that could take the market either higher or lower, depending on the emerging trend after the correction.

A wave cancellation level is marked at 0.87486. If the price falls to or below this level, the current wave count becomes invalid, meaning the existing corrective wave structure would need to be reassessed. As long as the price remains above this level, the wave count holds, and the market is expected to move from orange wave 2 into orange wave 3.

In summary, USDCHF is in a corrective phase with orange wave 2 currently unfolding. The market is nearing the end of this correction, preparing to transition into orange wave 3. The analysis remains valid unless the price falls below 0.87486.

USDCHF

USD/CHF Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.