Yesterday’s signals were not triggered as the resistance level at 1.3367 was not hit until after the close of the New York session.

Today’s USD/CAD Signals

Risk 0.75% per trade.

Trades may only be entered before 5pm New York time on Wednesday.

Long Trades

  • Go long after the next bullish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.3332 or 1.3300.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip below the local swing low.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

Short Trades

  • Go short after the next bearish price action rejection following the next touch of 1.3373 or 1.3422 or 1.3470.

  • Place the stop loss 1 pip above the local swing high.

  • Adjust the stop loss to break even once the trade is 20 pips in profit.

  • Take off 50% of the position as profit when the trade is 20 pips in profit and leave the remainder of the position to ride.

The best method to identify a classic “price action reversal” is for an hourly candle to close, such as a pin bar, a doji, an outside or even just an engulfing candle with a higher close. You can exploit these levels or zones by watching the price action that occurs at the given levels.

USD/CAD Analysis

I wrote yesterday that the price looked bullish as it got very close to making a new 20-day high price. If the price could remain above 1.3332 for the first couple of hours of the London session, that would be a bullish sign that the price would be likely to go on and reach the resistance at 1.3367, but I doubted it would be able to get any higher than that. This was a perfect call as it was an accurate forecast of what happened.

With the current strength of the USD and the serious weakness in the CAD, being long of this pair has been quite rewarding. Technically, the level at 1.3373 is a major swing high inflection point so if the price can get established above that today and keep trading there for a couple of hours, it would be a bullish sign. It is a true pivotal point so is a level worth watching today.

There is major Canadian data and a central bank release due later which could push the price anywhere, so be cautious.

USDCAD

There is nothing of high importance due today concerning the USD. Regarding the CAD, there will be a release of Trade Balance data at 1:30pm London time, followed by the Bank of Canada’s release of its Rate Statement and Overnight Rate at 3pm.

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