S3 |
S2 |
S1 |
R1 |
R2 |
R3 |
1.3125 |
1.3200 |
1.3290 |
1.3383 |
1.3445 |
1.3552 |
The Canadian dollar has started the week quietly. Early in the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3321, down 0.12% on the day. On the release front, it’s a light day for fundamentals, so traders can expected an uneventful day from the pair. Canadian foreign securities purchases sparkled, with a reading of C$28.40 billion, well above the forecast of C$15.03 billion. This was the strongest gain in almost two years. The U.S. will release a minor housing report. On Tuesday, Canada releases its annual budget.
Is the Canadian economy heading into a recession? Despite some strong employment numbers, there are worrying signs. The economy recorded a weak 0.4% gain in Q4 on an annualized basis and has been listless early in 2019. David Wolf, a former senior official at BoC, has projected that the Canadian dollar could sink to its record low of 1.60 ($.62 cents U.S.). Weak oil prices and the global trade war have hurt the Canadian economy and dampened the critical export sector.
With the U.S-China trade war showing signs of easing, there were expectations that President Trump and Chinese President Xi might hold a summit in late March. However, it was reported last week that the two leaders will not meet before April. President Trump has said that there will be news in the next 3-4 weeks, which has raised hopes that China and the U.S. will hammer out an agreement. If there are positive developments in the trade war, risk appetite will likely climb, which would be good news for the Canadian dollar.
Yen slides on weak trade data
Sterling, yields and stocks set for a volatile week
USD/CAD Fundamentals
Monday (March 18)
-
8:30 Canadian Foreign Securities Purchases. Estimate 15.03B. Actual 28.40B
-
10:00 US NAHB House Market Index. Estimate 63
Tuesday (March 19)
-
8:30 Canadian Annual Budget Release
Open: 1.3337 High: 1.3348 Low: 1.3302 Close: 1.3333
USD/CAD Technical
USD/CAD posted slight losses in the Asian session but has recovered in European trade. The pair is unchanged early in North American trade
-
1.3290 is providing support
-
1.3383 is the next resistance line
-
Current range: 1.3290 to 1.3383
Further levels in both directions:
-
Below: 1.3290, 1.3200 and 1.3125
-
Above: 1.3383, 1.3445, 1.3552 and 1.3662
This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities.
Opinions are the authors — not necessarily OANDA’s, its officers or directors. OANDA’s Terms of Use and Privacy Policy apply. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
USD/JPY pops and drops on BoJ's expected hold
USD/JPY reverses a knee-jerk spike to 142.80 and returns to the red below 142.50 after the Bank of Japan announced on Friday that it maintained the short-term rate target in the range of 0.15%-0.25%, as widely expected. Governor Ueda's press conference is next in focus.
AUD/USD bears attack 0.6800 amid PBOC's status-quo, cautious mood
AUD/USD attacks 0.6800 in Friday's Asian trading, extending its gradual retreat after the PBOC unexpectedly left mortgage lending rates unchanged in September. A cautious market mood also adds to the weight on the Aussie. Fedspeak eyed.
Gold consolidates near record high, bullish potential seems intact
Gold price regained positive traction on Thursday and rallied back closer to the all-time peak touched the previous day in reaction to the Federal Reserve's decision to start the policy easing cycle with an oversized rate cut.
Ethereum rallies over 6% following decision to split Pectra upgrade into two phases
In its Consensus Layer Call on Thursday, Ethereum developers decided to split the upcoming Pectra upgrade into two batches. The decision follows concerns about potential risks in shipping the previously approved series of Ethereum improvement proposals.
Bank of Japan set to keep rates on hold after July’s hike shocked markets
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep its short-term interest rate target between 0.15% and 0.25% on Friday, following the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy review. The decision is set to be announced during the early Asian session.
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know
VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.