USDCAD Elliott Wave Analysis - Trading Lounge.

U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) Day Chart.

USD/CAD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bearish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 3.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Next higher degree direction: Orange Wave 4.

  • Invalidation level: 1.43803.

Analysis details:

The USDCAD daily chart reflects a strong bearish trend with an impulsive wave structure. The market is currently in orange wave 3, following the completion of orange wave 2. This suggests that downward momentum remains strong, and further declines are expected.

At its current position in navy blue wave 1, the broader downtrend is in its early stages. As orange wave 3 progresses, the price is anticipated to continue its downward movement before entering a corrective phase in orange wave 4.

The next higher-degree wave to watch is orange wave 4, which will occur once the current bearish wave completes. This indicates that after the ongoing downward movement, a temporary pullback or consolidation could take place before the overall bearish trend resumes.

The invalidation level for this Elliott Wave structure is 1.43803. If the price moves above this level, the current bearish wave count would need reassessment. However, as long as the price stays below 1.43803, the bearish outlook remains valid, and further downside movement is expected.

Conclusion:

The USDCAD daily chart continues to show a strong bearish trend, with orange wave 3 currently in play. The 1.43803 level serves as a crucial resistance point, confirming the bearish scenario. The next phase in the Elliott Wave sequence will be orange wave 4, which may lead to a short-term upward correction before the overall downtrend resumes.

Chart

 

U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar (USDCAD) 4-Hour Chart.

USD/CAD Elliott Wave technical analysis

  • Function: Bearish Trend.

  • Mode: Impulsive.

  • Structure: Orange Wave 3.

  • Position: Navy Blue Wave 1.

  • Next higher degree direction: Orange Wave 4.

  • Invalidation level: 1.43803.

Analysis details:

The USDCAD 4-hour chart confirms a strong bearish trend with an impulsive wave structure. The market is currently in orange wave 3, following the completion of orange wave 2. This indicates that downward momentum remains strong, and further declines are expected.

The market is positioned in navy blue wave 1, signaling that the broader downtrend is still in its early stages. As orange wave 3 progresses, the price is expected to continue declining before transitioning into a corrective phase in orange wave 4.

The next higher-degree wave to monitor is orange wave 4, which will emerge after orange wave 3 completes. This suggests that after the ongoing downward movement, a short-term pullback or consolidation may occur before the bearish trend resumes.

The invalidation level for this Elliott Wave structure is 1.43803. If the price rises above this level, the current bearish wave count would need to be reassessed. However, as long as the price remains below 1.43803, the bearish outlook remains valid, and further downside movement is anticipated.

Conclusion:

The USDCAD 4-hour chart maintains a strong bearish trend, with orange wave 3 currently in play. The 1.43803 level serves as a key resistance point, ensuring the bearish scenario remains intact. The next phase in the Elliott Wave sequence will be orange wave 4, which may introduce a temporary upward correction before the downtrend continues.

Chart

 

Technical analyst: Malik Awais.

USD/CAD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

 

As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.

Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.

The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: A minor support emerges around 0.6480

AUD/USD: A minor support emerges around 0.6480

AUD/USD added to Friday’s retracement, returning to the 0.6550 zone amid the persistent move higher in the US Dollar and the resumption of trade concerns. The Australian Dollar is expected to closely follow the release of critical hard data from China on Tuesday.

EUR/USD slips below 1.1700 as Trump’s tariff barrage fuels USD demand

EUR/USD slips below 1.1700 as Trump’s tariff barrage fuels USD demand

The EUR/USD remains pressured during the North American session, below the 1.1700 figure as the Dollar got boosted by Trump unveiling new tariff letters on two of its largest trade partners, increasing appetite for haven assets. 

Gold battling around $3,350 amid fresh tariffs’ threats

Gold battling around $3,350 amid fresh tariffs’ threats

Gold prices maintain their bearish tilt around the $3,350 zone per troy ounce, leaving behind three consecutive days of gains. Fresh trade concerns seem to temper the precious metal’s decline, but investors remain cautious ahead of the publication of US inflation data on Tuesday and the US Dollar's continued strong tone.

Ethereum: Investors eye $3,400 following record inflows and BitMine's $500 million ETH acquisition

Ethereum: Investors eye $3,400 following record inflows and BitMine's $500 million ETH acquisition

Ethereum trades near $3,000 on Monday following BitMine's disclosure of over 163,000 ETH holdings. The company's purchase comes as investors have piled in over $990 million into record-breaking inflows into ETH exchange-traded funds.

Five fundamentals for the week: Investors eye tariff circus and US inflation data

Five fundamentals for the week: Investors eye tariff circus and US inflation data Premium

Which country will be the next to receive a letter from America? US  President Donald Trump has been extending his tariff threats through the weekend. Has the US economy felt the consequences of levies already imposed? These are the topics for another hot summer month.

Best Brokers for EUR/USD Trading

Best Brokers for EUR/USD Trading

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025