USD/CAD, H4

US

US January retail sales increased 0.3% for both the headline and ex-autos. December’s 0.3% headline gain was revised down to 0.2%, while the 0.7% ex-auto gain was bumped to 0.6%. Headline and core sales are 4.6% y/y higher. Sales excluding autos, gas and building materials were 0.2% firmer from 0.4%. Gas station sales declined -0.5% after a 1.7% gain (revised from 2.8%) and breaks a string of three monthly gains into the holidays. Clothing sales dropped -3.1% following a 2.7% December bounce (revised from 1.6%). Some of the weakness could be discounting. Car sales edged up 0.2% from -1.7% (revised from -1.3%). Non-store retailer sales were up 0.3% from -0.1% (revised from 0.2%). Miscellaneous sales climbed 2.3%.

The Dollar was steady following the mix of data, where retail sales were in-line with forecasts, import prices were a touch firmer than consensus, and industrial production weaker. EURUSD idles over 1.0840, with USDJPY down a few points at 109.80.

EURUSD

So far today CAD is the best performing currency, in-line with rising Oil prices, and the Swiss Franc is the weakest. USDCAD moved down to print fresh low for the week at 1.3235, ahead of the retail sales data.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

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