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US: Discomforting dots

  • The growth projections of the FOMC members have been revised downwards and the unemployment projection has seen an upward revision

  • The projections for the federal funds rate (the "dots") have dropped 50 basis points

  • The Fed chairman considers the outlook to remain favourable, adding that it is a great time to be patient

  • Markets are less upbeat. They interpret patience as an underlying concern about downside risks and price a rate cut in the course of next year. We expect the policy rate to stay at its current level, this year and next.

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BNP Paribas Team

BNP Paribas Team

BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas Economic Research Department is a worldwide function, part of Corporate and Investment Banking, at the service of both the Bank and its customers.

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