|

Trump's Liz Truss moment?

He actually did it

The 104% tariff on China came into effect last night, and the result has been a fresh bloodbath in equities. Yesterday’s session had seen stocks rebound on hopes that negotiations between the US and key partners would begin, but the afternoon session in the US witnessed the eradication of the bounce as a wave of selling took hold following some poor bond auctions in the US. Far from backing down, the US president appears determined to double down on his tariffs.

Signs of bond market stress emerge

The irresistible force of Trump’s trade policy has hit the immovable object of the bond market. A continued surge in US yields has undermined any suggestion that Trump’s tariffs on China are not causing major concern among investors around the globe. US borrowing costs are rising rapidly, piling the pressure on Washington to react in some way to alleviate the growing crisis in financial markets.

Today’s focus is on the Fed and the 10-year auction at 6pm – this has moved from an equity market crisis to a bond market one, which is far more serious. Liz Truss was forced back down in 2022 when the tensions threatened to blow apart the UK financial system – will Trump have to do the same?

Author

Chris Beauchamp

Chris Beauchamp has been with IG for four years, and in that time has become a regular commentator and analyst for the financial press and TV, with appearances on all the major financial channels as well as the BBC and Sky News.

More from Chris Beauchamp
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.