|

Trading ideas: Sell EUR/USD at 1.1710 after ECB announced its dovish tapering plan

The euro on Thursday suffered its worst day against the dollar since the UK's Brexit vote nearly two years ago after the European Central Bank unexpectedly indicated that it planned to keep interest rates at record lows into the summer of 2019. That stance contrasts with the steady rate hike campaign that the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled on Wednesday as it dropped its pledge to keep rates low "for some time."

This is how MyFXspot.com trades now:

EUR/USD

Trading strategy: Sell

Open: 1.1710

Target: -

Stop-loss: 1.1810

Recommended size: 1.50 mini lots per $10,000 in your account

Short analysis: Rally towards May 16 high is soundly rejected. The ensuing slide results in a  bearish outside daily candle and the pair falling back below the 10 & 21-DSMAs. RSIs are biased down and an monthly inverted hammer candle forms. An offer is placed at 1.1710 and the 2018 low will be targeted at a minimum.

 

GBP/USD

Trading strategy: Await signal

Open: -

Target: -

Stop-loss: -

Recommended size: -

Short analysis: Abrupt change in direction and bears back in control. Direction now clouded by severe price chop. Pair targets 1.3205 2018's May 29 low, below October 6 low at 1.3027 in focus.

USD/JPY

Trading strategy: Buy

Open: 110.30

Target: 111.90

Stop-loss: 109.50

Recommended size: 2.07 mini lots per $10,000 in your account

Short analysis: We see only limited recovery in USD/JPY today given what happens on other pairs. May high at 111.39 and the weekly Cloud base and downtrend line from Aug 2015 in the 111.90s are in play. We have placed a bid at 110.30.

 

USD/CAD

Trading strategy: Await signal

Open: -

Target: -

Stop-loss: -

Recommended size: -

Short analysis: The USD/CAD rallies with broad USD strength after dovish ECB hold. The pair rose to two-and-a-half-month high. Global/NAFTA trade tension angst lingering aids USD lift. We stand aside.

                                                                                                                     

AUD/USD

Trading strategy: Sell

Open: 0.7540

Target: -

Stop-loss: 0.7600

Recommended size: 2.50 mini lots per $10,000 in your account

Short analysis: Bear sentiment increases as the 21-DSMA turns into resistance and the daily cloud and trend line off May's low get broken. An inverted monthly hammer candle and falling RSIs bolster bear sentiment. A sell offer is placed at 0.7540 and the target will be the 2018 low at a minimum.

EUR/GBP

Trading strategy: Sell

Open: 0.8750

Target: -

Stop-loss: 0.8810

Recommended size: 1.88 mini lots per $10,000 in your account

Short analysis: The pair falls back below the 100 and 10-DSMAs, RSIs are biased down and the trend line off April's low gets pierced. We have placed a sell order at 0.8750.

Author

Wojciech Matysiak

Wojciech Matysiak

MyFXspot.com

Wojciech Matysiak is a chief editor and chief economist of MyFXspot.com, currency market analyst and strategies provider.

More from Wojciech Matysiak
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY extends sell-off below 157.00 on hawkish BoJ repricing

USD/JPY extends sell-off below 157.00 in European trading on Thursday. Traders react negatively to the weak US ADP report, smashing the US Dollar across the board and exerting renewed selling pressure on the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks continue to lend support to the Japanese Yen, rendering it negative for the major.

AUD/USD ranges above 0.7150 despite upbeat Chinese PMI

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from a nearly two-week low and ranges above 0.7150 in Asia on Thursday, as dismal Australian trade data counter upbeat China's RatingDog Services PMI. However, the pair's upside remains in check as the US Dollar stalls the weak ADP report-led slide amid escalating US-Iran tensions and firming September Fed rate-hike bets.

Gold sticks to gains below $4,450 amid weaker USD

Gold maintains its bid tone heading into the European session, though it remains below $4,450 amid mixed fundamental cues. Sliding US bond yields and Wednesday's soft US ADP report weigh on the US Dollar, assisting the commodity build on the previous day's goodish recovery from a nearly four-week low. That said, firming US Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations and inflation risks stemming from higher energy prices could act as a tailwind for US bond yields.

XRP defends key support, XLM awaits breakout as derivatives strengthen
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) show divergent technical outlooks as traders assess whether the recent weakness could give way to a recovery. XRP is finding support and defining a key support zone, while XLM slips below a cluster of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Ripple defends key support; Stellar awaits breakout as derivatives strengthen

Ripple and Stellar show divergent technical outlooks as traders assess whether the recent weakness could give way to a recovery. XRP is finding support and defining a key support zone, while XLM slips below a cluster of Exponential Moving Averages.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.