|

Trade results: SP's, EUR/USD, EUR/PLN, NZD/USD, NZD/CAD

As posted Tuesday for the SP's

1. Long Red Candle Imminent. It happened Thursday.

2. Top and short at 3233.99, dropped today from 3223.44.

3. Target 2736.59 and 2661.62

4. Must break 3054.55, 2913.95 and 2845.35.

5. Lows 2999.14

6. 200 points to  target

7. Trade runs +224 Points

S&P's only offers normally 1,  2 pr even 3 big trades per year and upon review, we hit every big trade since 2018. As posted for inspection.

EUR/PLN As Posted May 31

Long 4.4267 and 4.4114 to #target 4.4498.

Lows 4.3718 Highs 4.4498

Target achieved

Trade Ran +384 Pips from 4.4114 and +780 pips from 4.3718

Forced to add 1 Lot and trade duration extra 3 days

2nd Leg

Long 4.4574 target 4.4957.

Highs 4.4850

Trade runs +276 Pips

3rd Leg

Short 4.4957 to target 4.4766.

EUR/USD

Short anywhere or 1.1304 and 1.1326 to target 1.1063.

Highs 1.1422, Lows 1.1274

Entry off 96 pips, and profit 52 pips

Strategy: EUR/USD began last week and this week in deep overbought. EUR/USD remains deeply overbought. We maintain a short only strategy until target achieves.

I'm looking for today's close around 1.1230's. This means take profit for interested at 96 pips upon 1.1230's close.

Add additonal lot at significant overbought highs at 1.1400's then profits will be significantly higher.

Day trade shorts today at 1.1357 and 1.1349 to target 1.1243 and 1.1259 until 10:00 am EST. Significantly lower for EUR/USD may wait until after 10:00 am.

NZD/USD

Short anywhere or 0.6543 and 0.6518 to target 0.6293.

Highs 0.6584, Lows 0.6394

Entry off 41 pips, Profit +49 pips.

A perfect neutral or uncertain price market.

Looking at close today around 0.6373.

Strategy. Maintain short strategy until target achieves particularly when upper end currency EUR/USD is overbought as well as NZD/CAD.

NZD/CAD

Short anywhere or 0.8747 and 0.8759 to target 0.8568, caution 0.8594.

Highs 0.8795, Lows 0.8714

Entry off 36 pips, Profit 45 pips from 0.8759.

Neutral or uncertain price market.

Strategy. Maintain shorts until target achieves. I'm looking at close around 0.8640 and this means + 100 ish pips for interested.

Overall, EUR/USD, NZD/USD and NZD/CAD began the week overbought and maintained overbought status all week. Worst trading market is overbought prices to trade more overbought or oversold to oversold because it forces add a lot and possible extra day or 2 until target achieves  But add additional lot also means quicker profits from 2nd lot and either break even on 1st lot or hold both lots to target.

If 1 lot was added to EUR/USD at 1.1421 highs, profit today is +142 pips and +52 pips on the 1st lot for total 194 pips.

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

More from Brian Twomey
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after profit taking kicked in

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).