Crypto analysis: Ripple and Bitcoin set the pace, Litecoin and Monero struggle to follow


  • Both Bitcoin and Ripple are stuck in the trend that has been directing them since their all-time highs. Picture should be clear soon.
  • Monero and Litecoin dangerously playing with supports, risking heavy falls if they don't hold.

Two clear patterns show different technical outlooks between Cryptocurrencies

We are witnessing very interesting technical situations in the crypto sphere. The Cryptocurrency board had been moving as a block since the all-time highs in December, but the last steps of the current bearish action present two different scenarios. As we discussed yesterday, Ripple looks like the driving Cryptocurrency right now, and it actually was the best performer yesterday among the major Cryptos. Per our projections, XRP looks set to be in the driver's seat for the upcoming sessions.

But before we get to it, let's check first the struggling Cryptocurrencies:

Monero, at the base of a price compressing structure

Our forecast is that XMR/USD has a technical picture that doesn't leave much room to more falls. Any external event that might trigger an important capital outflow would put Monero in a very difficult position, with bearish continuation settled to last for several weeks.

XMR/USD 4H chart

XMR/USD 4h chart

Monero price is currently at less than $20 from getting into a new bearish ride. Below $290 we should reevaluate our XMR price predictions. On the upside, an in order to get to similar scenarios than BTC/USD or XRP/USD, the main target is located around $345.

MACD is trading in a negative area, but it has not reached too far from the equilibrium point. The current structure looks ready for a 'MACD failure', a situation that would open a bearish scenario. The attack angle of the average price relative to the signal confirms that high probability of such a scenario.

On the other hand, Directional Movement Index shows a pattern favorable to an increase in the buyers, but it's still lacking a confirmation move from the D-. Therefore, this diminishes the probability of another bearish scenario. Our projection recommends waiting and then react quickly to the price action. The bright spot in this situation is that the price is close to the trend, so there's not a lot of risk involved in taking new positions if we can execute the operations with quickness.

LTC/USD 4H chart

LTC/USD

Litecoin shows a similar structure to the Monero, with a very similar risk-reward situation, so a very similar forecast.

MACD shows a similar structure to the XMR/USD, but with a bit more chance of possible bullishness.

Litecoin Directional Movement Index is in a more advanced phase than Monero's, but sellers are still in high levels while equilibrium between buyers and sellers is still far from being reached.

Ripple rising to leadership

XRP/USD 4H chart

XRP/USD

Ripple is in the opposite scenario of the two Cryptocurrencies previously mentioned. Trading inside the same compressive structure, XRP/USD is stuck to the trendline, with high chances of breaking above it. That would open the doors for more rises.

MACD is crossed to the upside, just below 0. The fact that the indicator is crossed up combined with the XRP price closeness to the trendline favors the bullish projections.

Directional Movement Index is in a much more advanced zone, with buyers and sellers at an equilibrium point and ADX moving around levels that give room for another trend movement.

BTC/USD Daily chart

BTC/USD

Bitcoin, just as Ripple is doing, is stuck to the trendline that acts as dynamic resistance. Given its leader condition, a leadership that is now starting to share with Ripple, if BTC breaks to the upside we forecast a cascade of bullish rides across the Cryptocurrency board.

MACD is crossed to the upside, just below 0. That's a very similar structure to the XRP one. The fact that this indicator is crosssed up and the price is very close to the trendline favors the bulls.

Bitcoin's Directional Movement Index doesn't present bullish rides as easy as the Ripple one, which is now technically ahead of the rest of Cryptos. We should expect that BTC takes more time to get into bullish status than XRP.

The current scenario presents a very interesting picture, as Cryptocurrencies have behaved very similarly up to now, but have recently really started to diverge in several groups. That's a change of paradigm. Expect Cryptocurrency traders to be much more selective when selecting the assets they trade from now on.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD advances to the proximity of 1.0900

EUR/USD advances to the proximity of 1.0900

the sharp sell-off in the Greenback maintains the upbeat tone in the risk complex unchanged, with EUR/USD advancing to multi-week highs in the vicnity of he 1.0900 barrier.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.2700

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.2700

GBP/USD extended its march north and climbed to fresh five-week tops in the boundaries of 1.2700 the figure, always on the back of the increasing selling pressure hurting the US Dollar post-US CPI.

GBP/USD News

Gold reaches fresh monthly highs, aims for $2,400

Gold reaches fresh monthly highs, aims for $2,400

Gold trades modestly higher on the day above $2,360 in the American session. The data from the US showed that annual inflation edged lower to 3.4% in April as expected. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red below 4.4%, allowing XAU/USD to keep its footing.

Gold News

Ripple’s discounts for institutional clients stir debate among attorneys discussing SEC lawsuit

Ripple’s discounts for institutional clients stir debate among attorneys discussing SEC lawsuit

Ripple price consolidates in a tight range around $0.50 on Wednesday as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) legal battle against payment-remittance firm Ripple intensifies with two key issues in focus this week. 

Read more

US inflation and Retail Sales data add to pressure on Fed to signal rate cut

US inflation and Retail Sales data add to pressure on Fed to signal rate cut

The US CPI report for April was mostly in line with expectations. The annual rate for headline price growth fell to 3.4% from 3.5%, while the core rate declined to 3.6% from 3.8%. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures