|

The great turn called

S&P 500 recovered from fearful Friday selloff in the Asian session, and even managed to spike on hot Retail Sales (no landing) balanced by slower Empire State manufacturing (soft landing – I was however doubting that move. Expectations of a selloff based on Saturday‘s extensive analysis came to fruition so early during the regular session, and the short calls panned out great for all clients. The success grew more pronounced on the Israeli War Cabinet meeting conclusion, which gave fresh momentum for yields to rise.

Today‘s (free) analysis will be still shorter – I‘m at an extensive article for both clients and free readers, and as always in your premium Telegram channels.

Let‘s move right into the charts – today‘s full scale article contains 3 more of them, with commentaries.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq

Chart

Another lower low, and the trend looks quite set in place – note that daily volume didn‘t reveal enough buying interest. Low 5,160s weren‘t serious to bring up as support, but 5,125 fell instantly. 5,080 is the next objective for the sellers, but I don‘t think they can reach it today. Still, the medium-tern outlook is bearish, and Russell 2000 will lead in this adjustment to rising yields and stubborn inflation.

Today‘s housing data came on the soft landing side clearly, and that‘s constructive for the major indices least susceptible to rising rates. 

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.