|

Brexit does not threaten financial stability in the Euro area

UK general election polls 2017: Labour are continuing to narrow the gap on the Conservatives. The latest poll from YouGov has the Tory lead at just four points over Labour. Bulgarians have a new government. The Bulgarian parliament expressed confidence in the pro-Western centre-right government of the party Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria. The head of the party Boyko Borisov will thus become Bulgaria‘s prime minister for the third time in the past eight years.

Brexit does not threaten the financial stability of the euro area. The departure of Britain from the EU should not pose a significant risk to the financial stability of the eurozone. The European Central Bank stated this in its half-yearly report on financial stability.

Although the Greek parliament has undergone the required reforms, Athens is still waiting for the next part of financial assistance. The finance ministers of the eurozone Member States have failed to agree on releasing money for heavily indebted Greece. Similarly discussions on debt relief have ended. Greece badly needs money from the loan by July when it is due to make a debt repayment of 7.3 billion euros. Without this the country could become insolvent.

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development expects to continue to increase its activities in Greece and to invest 2 billion euros by 2018. So far, EBRD has spent more than one billion euros in Greece to help the country with economic recovery. Through its engagement in Greece, EBRD wants to attract private sector investment and help small and medium-sized businesses obtain access to finance. Access to credit in Greece is very difficult, which can become a major obstacle to growth.

Real gross domestic product in the Central and Eastern European region (CEE) will grow in 2017. According to an International Monetary Fund report, it should amount to 3.2%. In 2016 it was 2.7%. The reasons the IMF gives are global economic activity which is supporting demand for exports, and increasing investment flowing to EU Member States in this region from European subsidy funds.

Warsaw Stock Exchange will seek to attract companies from nearby countries. The Warsaw Stock Exchange will focus in the future on acquiring foreign firms, especially from neighboring countries including the Czech Republic. This year the largest stock exchange in CEE will significantly revive its activity and should record a record amount of primary stock offerings, acting head of the stock exchange Jarosław Grzywinski said.

Download The Full CZ EU News Monthly Journal

Author

Erste Bank Research Team

At Erste Group we greatly value transparency. Our Investor Relations team strives to provide comprehensive information with frequent updates to ensure that the details on these pages are always current.

More from Erste Bank Research Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 as USD demand surges

GBP/USD extends its intraday slide and closes in on 1.3300 in the American session on Thursday. The pair remains under heavy bearish pressure as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

EUR/USD drops toward 1.1350 post ECB decision

EUR/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure in the second half of the day on Thursday and trades at its lowest level in three weeks below 1.1370. The ECB's cautious tone on policy tightening in the near future and the broad-based US Dollar (USD) strength on risk-aversion drag the pair lower.

Gold bulls seem hesitant amid inflation-driven Fed hike bets and bullish USD

Gold consolidates the previous day's heavy losses and remains on the defensive below $4,050 during the Asian session on Friday amid rising expectations of a Fed rate hike, bolstered by energy-driven inflation concerns. Moreover, the US-Iran standoff and US President Donald Trump's new tariffs underpin the US Dollar's reserve currency status, which further weighs on the bullion. The XAU/USD pair, however, sticks to modest weekly gains as traders look to the global flash PMIs for fresh impetus.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

Bitcoin falls as surging Oil prices revive inflation concerns

Bitcoin extends its correction, trading below $65,800 after a modest decline in the previous day. Despite BTC’s fading strength, US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds continued to attract institutional inflows on Wednesday, marking the seventh consecutive day of gains.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.