|

That S&P 500 wedge

S&P 500 trapped the bears again Monday, call right on the money. Yields are though less willing to retreat, and the upswing (10y through 4.50%) is here – with Powell heading to testify, we have plenty to look forward for as markets are adjusting to fewer cuts and coming later as talked in your extensive Sunday‘s article.

USD is also moving up, but the real shift, amongs the right gold, oil and equities calls delivered for clients, is to be found in S&P 500 sectors, and continued broadening of leadership (we got a daily XLF hiccup, right before the testimony and inflation data) with not Mag 7, but other names stealing the spotlight as talked in today‘s packed video.

Certainly, the Friday hits are taking less time to recover Monday and Tuesday, but I‘m wary of seeing a sectoral constellation of yesterday – I‘m diving into the details in the full article. Let‘s start with the yields chart, and what it‘s doing to tech today premarket (SMCI key event today really, and I am leaning bullish, same for NVDA if the earnings turn out well, much volatility ahead – implications talked with clients, what to expect before and after). Did I mention the steel and aluminum tariffs, which formed part of my late day predictions not just as regards oil?

Chart
Chart

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).