Swing Trades: EUR/USD, NZD/USD

Dukascopy Bank Team Dukascopy Bank SA

EUR/USD: US Existing Home Sales

The EUR/USD currency pair continued to appreciate on the better-than-expected data on home sales in the US. The Greenback lost 7 base points against the Euro to keep strengthening further to the 1.1895 area.

The US home sales rose more than anticipated in November to reach the highest level in 11 years, indicating that the property market growth started to regain momentum after procrastination for the most of the year. The National Association of Realtors stated that the country’s exciting home sales increased 5.6% to a seasonally adjusted yearly rate of 5.81M units due to lingering recovery of hurricanes-hurt areas. However, the market activity remained constrained by a shortage of available properties, which kept prices elevated.

NZD/USD: NZ Gross Domestic Product

The Kiwi rose markedly against the US Dollar on the report showing the New Zealand’s economic momentum accelerating in the September quarter. The NZD/USD currency pair strengthened 0.42% or 29 base points to 0.7002, trying to remain above the 0.7000 level.

The New Zealand’s economy marked the better-than-anticipated annual growth pace of 2.7% in the Q3. Meanwhile, the quarterly expansion eased to 0.6% in the same period, following an upwardly revised 1.0% gain in the prior quarter. However, downturns in some sectors indicated to a muted outlook than the country’s new government would prefer. The report provided the reason for the RBNZ to keep interest rates unchanged at a record low as the inflation pulse remained weak.

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Dukascopy Bank SA

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EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.