|

Strong Dollar Won't Hurt U.S. Economy

How will the U.S. economy, particularly exports, cope with a rising dollar? Pretty well, we should expect. Even though a strong dollar will create drag for U.S. companies geared to selling abroad, there are reasons to doubt that it will slow the steady trek higher this summer that I’ve projected for U.S. stocks.  For one, investors have been discounting a strengthening dollar all along, and it is already baked in the cake. And for two, it will rev up domestic consumption of imports.  Granted, the lion’s share of the proceeds will go back to Canada, Europe and Asia. But U.S. vendors — of everything from cars to anchovies — will take their cut, and that should be sufficient to provide a net boost to an economy that has continued to chug along. Incidentally, my target projection for the Dollar Index, currently trading for around 94.04, is 96.43 — a pretty big move percentage-wise.  This is corroborated by a technical pattern I’ve flagged to subscribers on the Rick’s Picks home page tonight. There is an unusually good trading opportunity in the offing, but without going into the details, it makes me even more confident about the dollar’s continued rise.

DXY

Author

Rick Ackerman

Rick Ackerman

Rick’s Picks

Barron’s once labeled Rick Ackerman an “intrepid trader” in a headline that alluded to his key role in solving a notorious pill-tampering case.

More from Rick Ackerman
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.