GBP/USD, H1

GBPUSD

Cable has pinned a new five-month peak at 1.3145. The pair is now firmly back in pre-lockdown territory. The UK currency still registers as the weakest of the main currencies on the year-to-date, and by some distance in trade-weighted terms, while recent dollar underperformance has been somewhat flattering the Pound. Nevertheless, there are some convincing bullish arguments in market narratives. One is the pick-up in the pace of economic recovery in the UK, as evidenced by the much stronger than forecast preliminary July PMI data and improvement in the CBI’s July distributive sales report, which flagged a near full recovery in the retail sector, with sales in upcoming months seen at near seasonal norms. There have also been signs that have led markets to factor in improved odds for an EU-UK trade deal, with a number of sourced press reports suggesting that discussions are going better than the official line suggests. However, the Government’s handling of the pandemic has been coming under daily scrutiny and last night’s sudden announcement of restrictions and lock-downs in parts of northern England only added to the uncertainty.

GBPUSD

Technically, Cable breached the key 20-day simple moving average on July 7 and has rallied significantly over the last 11 trading days, posting consecutive gains each day. The next Donchian Channel top is 1.3200 and then 1.3500. The 200-day moving average sits way below at 1.2688 and the RSI has breached into the 80s this week into overbought territory.

Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.

Analysis feed

FXStreet Trading Signals now available!

Access to real-time signals, community and guidance now!

Latest Analysis


Latest Forex Analysis

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD consolidates, bulls eye push towards 0.7400

AUD/USD is currently trading just below Tuesday highs at 0.7369, as bulls eye a push towards the 0.7400 level. A significant improvement in global risk appetite gave AUD a boost on Tuesday and sets the currency up well for the coming Wednesday Asia session.

AUD/USD News

Gold consolidates above $1,800, risk-on favors bears near four

Gold struggles to keep $1,800 threshold while taking rounds to four-month low. The hopes of the US stimulus and recovery from the coronavirus (COVID-19) keep the gold bears hopeful. DJI30, S&P 500 closed at the record top, DXY eased.

Gold news

NZD/USD wavers around 2.5-year high below 0.7000 even as RBNZ’s Orr backs low interest rates

NZD/USD keeps the choppy trading above 0.6965, easing five pips off-late. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr says low interest rates ensure NZD’s competitiveness. A light calendar in Asia highlights risk news for fresh impulse.

NZD/USD News

On-chain metrics spell trouble for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP despite on-going bull rally

The top three cryptocurrencies are seeing massive gains over the past few days. BTC price is close to its all-time high, currently trading at $19,300. XRP had a massive 242% colossal rally in the past week. ETH also closely following BTC's step.

Read more

Black Friday 2020 Discounts!

Learn to trade with the best! Don't miss the most experienced traders and speakers in FXStreet Premium webinars. Also if you are a Premium member you can get real-time FXS Signals and receive daily market analysis with the best forex insights!

More info

Forex Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures