S&P 500 defended 4,515 and 4,507 alike, and ignored hawkish Barkin talk. Surging through 4,535, and ultimately reaching my intraday channel target of 4,565 meant more gains for intraday and swing trading clients alike – just when market breadth improved noticeably again.
This leads to the valid question of how far away is the top – is the Q4 rally slowly getting over, and if not then what would be the shape of the upcoming correction?
Today‘s full analysis answers these questions while illustrating the short-term with NVDA chart, predicting earnings market reaction.
Let‘s move right into the charts – today‘s full scale article contains 6 of them, featuring S&P 500, NVDA, credit markets, precious metals and oil.
Stocks and sectors
Market isn‘t expecting a downside NVDA surprise, and is actually priced for a muted reaction that would be neither as bullish as May earnings, nor as bearish as Aug ones – in between rather as the grind higher won‘t be disrupted much really.
Credit markets
Credit markets also continue favoring bonds going up some more – I‘ve been telling you about a turn in rates (TLT) later this year. The daily HYG weaker close though hints at a brief consolidation in stocks.
Gold, Silver and Miners
Precious metals continue being bullish – yesterday‘s daily candle bodes well for such upswing continuation that would take out $2,000 with ease.The decline in silver isn‘t likewise to be feared – see base metals and how well copper is doing too. More to come – I‘m not warning about a daily downswing.
All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD holds steady at around 1.0750 ahead of US CPI Premium

EUR/USD continues to trade sideways near 1.0750. The cautious market mood helps the US Dollar remain steady as investors gear up for crucial macroeconomic data releases and central bank meetings this week, including US CPI on Tuesday, the Fed on Wednesday, and the ECB on Thursday.
GBP/USD finds support above 1.2540

GBP/USD rebounded after finding support at the 1.2540 area and climbed toward 1.2570, on a quiet session. October labor market data from the UK and November inflation data from the US will be released on Tuesday ahead of the Fed's and the BoE's policy meetings.
Gold extends daily slide toward $1,980 Premium

Gold price remains under heavy bearish pressure and trades at its lowest level in nearly three weeks at around $1,980. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up more than 1% on the day, weighing on XAU/USD ahead of this week's key macroeconomic events.
Bitcoin price backtracks to $40,000 as whales move to sell $671 million worth of BTC

Bitcoin price crashed on Monday for the first time in nearly three weeks. The market was expecting a bullish continuation until the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) approves a spot BTC ETF in January 2024.
S&P 500 Forecast: Index produces new 2023 high

The S&P 500 index launched itself just barely to a new high for the year on Monday. In its second hour of trading, the index reached 4,620, which was just above the earlier annual high of 4,607 from July 27.