SP500 Rally?

Summary

SP500. It is possible the recent low was the 4 year low on December 24, 2018 or it is still forming. I’m now thinking of the 4 year being in front of us, perhaps near year end. See the chart below.

This does look like the Primary cycle low (18 week) on Dec 24.

If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn near February 11, 2019. This is the 33 week cycle.

See further down for the Jupiter square Neptune on January 13^th.

Gold On the Gold chart we are in the 20^th week of the Primary cycle started on Aug 6, 2018. If so, we should watch for a pull back for the Primary cycle low. Gold may be the trade of 2019.

Crude's  Crude started up on Dec 24. This should be the Primary cycle trough and we are entering the 3^rd week.

 

SP500

The last Primary cycle trough started on June 28, 2018. We could and did have a secondary pull back, then a waterfall down move. The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th. We are currently in the 3^rd week of a new Primary cycle.

The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma is below price and price is below the 45 day sma. The 15 day sma is curling up.

The recent move down was timing the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year) can distort the shorter term cycles (18 week). As noted above we may be seeing the 4 year cycle low later in the year.

September 21 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and may be the cycle high for the 4 year cycle.

The following dates may have significant moves or start of a move. The following aspects are for a reverse in trend or large range day.

Jan 13             Jupiter square Neptune

                        Vulnerable to deception and fraud.

                        On the other hand can be Lucky, shortage of money

                        Credits and downgrades`

Jan 21             Lunar eclipse

Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but tends to overdoing things.

Dates are a minimum +- 7 tds unless otherwise noted. On longer timed aspects a time frame will be included.

 

I’m looking for a turn near Jan 14 or Jan 18. All +- 3 td’s.

If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn near February 11, 2019. This is the 33 week cycle.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)

 

The next hits are Feb 20, 2019 and April 10, 2019.

 

The 4 Year cycle

The above chart shows the 4 year (red). The last 4 year cycle trough was Feb 2016. The next 4 year cycle should be Dec 2019 +- 10 months. See the chart.

From the last few posts:

“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”

From late December through the first Eclipse in Jan 5, 2019 watch for a geophysical event close to any earthquakes or volcanos.

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. There was a significant earthquake in Alaska 4 weeks ago. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.

 

Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 

20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.

 

We are entering the difficult time mentioned over the last few months.

The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.

Other

Other cycles and Astrological events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.

The vertical black lines are the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a wide orb.

The blue x’s show when heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.

 

2019 Eclipses

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25

Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51

July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37

July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4

Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

 

The Bradley Indicator

This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".

On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.

It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:

"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?

- a rising market changes to a falling market

- a rising market changes to sideways

- a sideways market starts going up

- a sideways market starts going down

- a market going down changes to a rising market

- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.