SP500 "Awaiting a Turn":

Summary

SP500. It is possible the recent low was the 4 year low on December 24, 2018 or it is still forming. The 4 year may be in front of us, perhaps near year end.

This does look like the Primary cycle low (18 week) on Dec 24.

Things may heat up the following weeks starting Feb 18^th. Volatility should continue and longer term I’m expecting bigger moves and changes from 2020 through 2023.

If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn over the next 2- weeks.

See further down for the Jupiter square Neptune on January 13^th.

Mars will become more prominent with a conjunction with Uranus and a change in sign for Mars which moves into Taurus. Mars will be in its detriment in Taurus. This follows Venus changing signs into Capricorn on Feb 3^rd. Multiple changes in sign can result in a change in trend in the markets.

Emphasis has been placed on trade talks between the USA and China. These can mark short term direction for the markets. The real problem may be the broader world markets that have been slowing for some time. Jupiter square Neptune which we have mentioned numerous times may be the real problem as these planets in aspect can be quite inflationary. One of the reasons I’m looking at Gold here. Inflation coupled with large debt does not auger well for the months / years ahead. This may be pointing o serious financial problems late 2019 or 2020.

Gold We got the pullback in Gold. When the pullback is complete, and it maybe complete now, I’m looking for Gold to move up into mid-March. We should see a rise in Gold next week. Gold should still be the trade of 2019.

Crude's  Crude started up on Dec 24. This should be the Primary cycle trough and we are entering the 7th week of the Primary cycle. The pullback is over. A rally the week of Feb 19 is possible.

 

SP500

The Primary cycle trough was on Dec 24th. We are currently entering the 8th week of a new Primary cycle. The Primary cycle is approx.18 weeks and is typically composed of 3- 6 week cycles or 2-9 week cycles. This Primary cycle should see a turn down between Feb 18 and March 1^st, +- 2 weeks.

The Price moving averages, the 15 day sma is just under price and above the 45 day sma. The 45 day (blue) is starting to circle up.

The recent move down to the Primary low was timing the 18-week Primary cycle and a 2 year cycle. The longer term cycles (2 year) can distort the shorter term cycles (18 week). As noted above we may be seeing the 4 year cycle low later in the year although it could have been at the Dec 24 low.

September 21, 2018 seems to be the crest of the last Primary cycle and may be the cycle high for the 4 year cycle.

The following dates may have significant moves or start of a move. The following aspects are for a reverse in trend or large range day.

Feb 14             Mars enters Taurus

                        Taurus is a fixed, Earth sign. Any conflict from the above may be subdued. Mars is in it’s detriment here.

Feb 18             Venus conjunct Saturn

                        Venus, amongst other things stands for currencies. With Saturn there may be some restriction. Possible reversal in market direction. Venus is strong here with                         

                        aspects to Saturn then Pluto then Uranus in Capricorn. The second half of                                 February should see currency swings.

                        Sun enters Pisces

                        Watch for issues involving hospitals, homes for the aged, prisons, secret                                       societies.

Feb 19             Mercury/Neptune sextile Saturn

                        Emphasis on Neptune / Saturn from Jan 31, 2018. This can manifest as chronic                           conditions , the methodical attainment of plans with great pain-staking effort.

                        Neptune and Saturn are both in the signs of their rulership. Saturn rules                                        Capricorn and Neptune rules Pisces. Pluto is also in Capricorn. Venus stands for                         money (currencies). I’m looking for volatility as Venus will be in aspect to Pluto                             then Uranus

Feb 20             Sun semi square Saturn

                        Difficult struggles.

Feb 22             Venus conjunct Pluto

                        Watch for changes in crude / equity prices and currencies.. Watch for changes to             the banking system or other financial institutions.

Feb 26             Sun semi square Pluto

                        Sudden movement

March 1          Venus square Uranus

                        Sudden financial moves / movement in currencies.

The above aspects are for the next 2 weeks. A list of powerful outer planets aspects follows. They will be covered in detail as we approach them.

Any aspects, like those noted above are a minimum of 3 tds (trading days). Longer term aspects will be noted separately. The following list are planet aspects. There will also be Eclipses, Fixed stars, cycle charts and other Astrological items.

Longer Term Aspects

2019    Jupiter square Neptune

2020    Jupiter conjunct Saturn

            Jupiter conjunct Pluto

            Saturn conjunct Pluto

2021    Jupiter squared Uranus

            Saturn square Uranus

2022    Jupiter conjunct Neptune

Jupiter square Neptune will be with us for most of the year. Due to retrograde motion Jupiter will square Neptune 3 times. This combination can point to an increase in spending, inflation, currencies and potential debt problems and bankruptcies. This could be on and off all year. Neptune alone is about illusion and delusion. Jupiter can be very favorable but tends to overdoing things.

What will probably not be favorable for currencies will be Venus conjuncting both Saturn and Pluto and Uranus in the second half of February..

 

See the Bradley Indicator at the end of this section.

If the current volatility continues watch for a cycle turn during the next 2 weeks.

The following daily chart of the SP500 is what we have been showing under the 24 Harmonic chart. This is the basis of what we have been forecasting on.

Following is the 24 Harmonic chart we have shown for many months.

The Jan 2 date was a big range day. It is trying to move through the Jupiter Price line (blue)

The next hits are Feb 20, 2019 and April 10, 2019.

The 4 Year cycle

The above chart shows the 4 year (red). The last 4 year cycle trough was Feb 2016. The next 4 year cycle should be Dec 2019 +- 10 months or it was Dec 24, 2018. See the chart above.

From the last few posts:

“This coming year could see an increase in geophysical activity, both earthquakes and volcanos.”

See the link under “Earthquakes”. This is an application from the USGS. Geophysical activity has been picking up.

There has been a number of volcano’s erupting as well. Japan, Hawaii, Philippines, others.

On a longer term basis the following monthly chart of the DJIA  shows the 15 year cycle (red vertical lines) and the 45 year cycle (blue lines). The 15 year is due now or took place April – June 2018. The 45 year due in Sept 2019. This is another example of a longer-term cycle possibly distorting shorter term cycles. Bear in mind they need a broad orb.

Although we do not have enough data the 45 year cycle pointing to Sept 2022 this could also be the 90 year cycle. We do not have enough data to make the 90 year call. For a 90 year cycle I’m looking at 1842 – 1932 and then 2022.

The following daily chart of the SP500 shows 2 Envelope channels. Red is the centered 

20 week envelope channel. Blue is the centered 40 week envelope channel. The dark blue squares are the Sun / Neptune square which is often a short term change in trend.

We have had this noted it was due for a sell.  Also note the dark blue squares. They are the dates of the Mars square Uranus transit.

 

We are entering the difficult time mentioned over the last few months.

The red averages are based on the 20 week so they are shifted 10 weeks or a ½ cycle.

I brought up Iran on the last couple of posts. I’ll come back to those charts on any potential signs of conflict. It is getting close. Watch the news for problems with Iran.

 

Other

Other cycles and Astrological events are the 20 year cycle and heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius.

The vertical black lines are the 20 year cycle. Note the lows. It is due again near March 2022 but it needs a wide orb.

The blue x’s show when heliocentric Jupiter is in Sagittarius. This, most often, has the market moving up. The next chart shows both these items. The aspect Heliocentric Jupiter in Sagittarius came from MMA. And timing solutions.

 

2019 Eclipses

See the previous blog post for more details on the eclipses.

Date                Eclipse                                   Saros Cycle               Sign

Jan 6, 2019     Solar Partial                            122                              15Cp25

Jan 21, 2019   Total Lunar                              134                              00Le51

July 2, 2019     Solar Total                               127                              10Cn37

July 16, 2019  Partial Lunar                           139                              24Cp4

Dec 26, 2019  Solar Annular                          132                              4Cp6

The Bradley Indicator

This stock index forecasting tool was designed by astrologer Donald Bradley and published in 1947 in a booklet titled "Stock Market Prediction".

On the cover this tool is called the Planetary Barometer and inside the booklet it is called a Siderograph. Now it is simply called "the Bradley". The

Bradley is meant to forecast major and minor turning-points (where a trend will reverse) in either the Dow Jones Industrial Average or SP500 indexes. Bradley's work was obviously on the DJIA.

It does not forecast or anticipate whether that turning-point will be a high or a low. It has no polarity. The Bradley may turn up while the DJIA turns down. The amplitude of the Bradley swing is also not important. It only finds periods where trend changes occur.

It should be understood Astrologers in decades gone by who had no computers, spreadsheets, or databases to analyze data typically worked with much smaller data sets than we do today. This maybe why the Bradley worked so well when it first came out in 1947 but now is somewhat unreliable. Now, it goes through periods where it works fairly well but then can stop operating for months at a time. Originally it was for geocentric astrology (Earth centered) but there are now heliocentric models (Sun centered) and others.

In Bradley's own words:

"At no time must the reader gain the impression that a siderograph, as such, is a prediction of what the stock market will actually do. Nevertheless, observation proves that basic reversals in collective attitudes, clearly predicted by the line, are inevitably mirrored in stock averages"

So if the Bradley only identifies trend changes, what are trend changes?

- a rising market changes to a falling market

- a rising market changes to sideways

- a sideways market starts going up

- a sideways market starts going down

- a market going down changes to a rising market

- a falling market starts going sideways

The red line is the Bradley Indicator.