|

S&P 500 duly rallied on unemployment claims above expectations

S&P 500 duly rallied on unemployment claims above expectations (soft landing), yet much uncertainty did strike since, and it was one-way down till the close. Once the dust settles (next week), it‘ll be possible to consider a swing long again, but as clients noted at the onset of yesterday, I tightened stop-loss significantly while expecting less of a potential upside till non-farm payrolls.

Intraday calls for nimble traders had a fine success in both gains delivered, and outlook with our appropriate reaction correctly identified. That‘s even more true with respect to the bullish oil call with important support on 4-hour chart holding.

Why though such a vicious move in equities – and flight to safety first in oil, then in Treasuries? This is how I summed it up in our channel this European morning (chart provided for reference, but some equities‘ upswing following the data release, is still likely).

Chart
Chart

More insights follow in the chart section – and rich real-time commenting on Telegram and Twitter awaits too.

Crude Oil

Chart

Crude oil saw a great intraday reversal, serving as a flight to safety – in fits and starts, it‘ll continue doing so, but today‘s disappointing decline from $86.90 prepares the ground for intraday consolidation on not sharply appreciating note. The upleg isn‘t though over just yet, and it‘s not driven by Mideast (solely).

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: The 0.7000 level holds the downside…for now

AUD/USD has clinched its fourth consecutive daily pullback on Thursday, coming closer to the key 0.7000 region while breaking below the critical 200-day SMA at the same time. The Aussie’s decline comes on the back of further gains in the Greenback in a context of rising yields and Fed rate hike bets.

USD/JPY keeps the red near 158.00 as Japanese Yen firms up

USD/JPY retreats from three-week highs and holds losses near 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday. Surging Japanese bond yields lift the Yen amid looming intervention risks, while the US Dollar preserves overnight gains to a two-month high amid hawkish Fed bets and elevated US bond yields.

Gold bounces off lows, still below $4,300

Gold builds on Wednesday’s retracement, briefly slipping back below $4,250 per troy ounce to attempt a lacklustre rebound afterwards. The better tone in the US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields and expectation of extra rate hikes by the Fed continue to weigh on the precious metal in the latter part of Thursday’s NA session.

XRP is flashing three bullish signals heading into a historically weak October
XRP (XRP) is still flashing 3 bullish signals across its holders, derivatives, and ETF data. These signals come as the token gave back part of its September gains on Thursday. The token traded near $1.50 at press time, down about 6.3% over 24 hours, according to BeInCrypto Markets data. The pullback still leaves XRP up over 15.6% on the week, a gain that tracks a broader market rally.
Advanced economies: From one example of resilience to another
History tends to repeat itself in advanced economies. Once again, growth ultimately fell short of expectations by only a small margin in the first half of 2026, despite the conflict in Iran. As early as 2025, the impact of tariffs was less severe than feared.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.