|

Soybean Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Soybean Elliott Wave analysis

The bounce from August appears to have completed as the commodity now aims for a new low for the year. Thus, the bearish sequence from June 2022 should extend lower.

The price is in a bearish corrective phase on the daily chart - correcting the impulse wave cycle between May 2019 and June 2022. From the high of June 2022, we can expect a 3-wave structure at least. Wave ((A)) ended in October 2023 with a diagonal structure before a shallow bounce for wave ((B)) followed to the high of November 2023. Since November, a bearish impulse wave has evolved for wave ((C)). Price completed wave (4) of ((C)) in September 2024 as a sell-off for wave (5) of ((C)) followed. Wave (5) could extend to 866-661 before another recovery begins.

Alternatively, the decline from the June 2022 high ($1787) could also be an impulse structure if the price exceeds 535. In either case, the downside is very much favored to continue in the coming weeks.

Chart

On the H4 chart, it appears the price is still in wave 1 of (5). This means traders should focus on selling bounces. Decline will most likely breach 866 and run to 661 before completing the impulse wave for (5) of((C)).

Chart

Soybean Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.