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Silver Price Forecast: ‘Buy the dips’ as XAG/USD looks to $27 and beyond

  • Reddit day-trader-led silver frenzy stalls on Friday.
  • Technical set up on daily chart remains in favor of the bulls
  • XAG/USD could see the ‘buy the dips’ strategy in play.

After surging nearly 7% to test the $27 mark on Thursday, Silver (XAG/USD) is on a corrective mode so far this Friday as the dust settles after the Reddit day-traders induced market craze. Reddit Group’s WallStreetBets hogged the limelight once again after the day-trader favorites GameStop and other stocks tumbled on brokers', including Robinhood Markets Inc., announcement of a ‘reduce-only mode’ in these US stocks to favor the hedge funds.

r/WallStreetBets board, famous for fuelling a short squeeze in Gamestop, diverted retail attention to Silver, by posting that the white metal is highly manipulated and a short-squeeze to $1000 per troy ounce cannot be ruled out, courtesy of the big banks such as the JP Morgan. The day-traders pumped into iShares Silver Trust, the largest silver exchange-traded fund, which rose as much as 6%.

Silver futures are seeing some downward pressure this Friday, as Robinhood said that it would lift trading restrictions on some of the blocked stocks, which prompted a rally in the day-trade favorites once again in after-hours trading. The revived interest in these US stocks could likely limit the upside in the bright metal, although the risks remain skewed to the upside amid a favorable technical set up. Markets could adopt the ‘buy the dips’ strategy as silver’s options market suggests a bullish mood.

“Silver's call skew on Comex, which measures the spread between prices for calls and puts, surged to a multi-month high of 21.2545 on Thursday, as investors added bets (calls) to position for a rally in the semi-precious metals,” Omkar Godbole, FXStreet’s Analyst noted.

Silver Price Chart - Technical outlook

Silver: Daily chart

Silver’s daily chart looks constructive in the near-term, having confirmed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on Thursday after the price stormed through the neckline resistance, then at $26.20.

XAG/USD pierced through the critical 21-daily moving average (DMA) while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) saw a spike, both adding credence to the upside break.

At the moment, the price has reversed to test the neckline resistance now support around $26.20. Should the correction pick up pace, the 21-DMA at $25.86 could be threatened.

The buyers remain hopeful so long as the XAG bulls defend the abovementioned critical support. Further south, the upward-sloping 50-DMA at $25.17 could come to their rescue.

Alternatively, Thursday’s high of $26.97 could be tested if the rally resumes, opening doors for a test of the horizontal trendline resistance (orange) near $27.70.

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Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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