|

Risk off in the making? – Dollar reactive

Important News for the day:

  • Thu, 17th, 03:30 CET AU Employment Change.

  • Thu, 17th, 14:30 CET US Retail Sales.

Consumer prices

This week, consumer prices data has been mixed. While in Canada and the UK prices had been rising slightly, data from the US suggests that the economy in the United States remains rather resilient since the new tariffs under the Trump administration had been implemented. Today, traders will focus on the retail sales and unemployment claims from the US. Furthermore producer prices, which usually offer a preview to consumer prices have also fallen. PPI data from last month show, that production prices came in weaker. Yet the trend rises slightly since April this year. US equities remain positive as well and have not weakened much since the beginning of the week.

Market talk

The US- Dollar remains strong and the DXY (Dollar index) shows, that the price might grow further. Based on the daily chart the index is currently testing the 50- moving average. A break of this zone might indicate fresh upside momentum. Also the weekly chart looks positive indicating that a bullish turnaround pattern is currently in the making. More strength of the Dollar might cause equities to weaken. The price of Silver has stabilized after the market fell yesterday. On the other hand, Gold prices might fall. The market is currently trading at the 50- MA based on the daily chart. A break might cause more downside momentum, supported by the strength of the Dollar. Furthermore also oil prices remain under pressure and look set for more downside as well.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities correcting, USD stronger, Bitcoin positive, ETH strong, oil weaker, Silver sideways, Gold sideways, JPY weak.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.