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Rare signal flashing: Gold prints largest monthly candle since 1980’s

Gold right now is printing a rare signal on the higher timeframe, and many traders are going to miss it.

Take a look at this chart – spanning back to 1999. Every time gold has printed a significant candle range, it has marked a pivotal point where price reverses, either dramatically or in a slow drip fashion.

Chart

Today, gold has printed a huge 29.91% sized candle (counting wicks), which is the largest candle print since 1980, where an astonishing 56% up candle was printed.

And even that marked a pivotal point for Gold.

Weekly timeframe shooting star risk

Gold is now threatening a weekly close with a 9 to 10% drop from its highs at $5,598; creating what’s known as a Shooting Star pattern.

This is a bearish reversal candlestick pattern. And following gold’s monthly candle signal, it only adds weight to the idea of a reversal.

Chart

As such, several key levels stand out, should Gold reverse:

  • $5,000 would act as a key psychological resistance, if it is decisively lost.
  • $4,550 acts as a potential support.
  • $4,317 is the ultimate support (monthly low), which determines if Gold can continue higher in the short term.

But, pay mind that this is merely a signal based on past behaviours of Gold; and the past does not get replicated fully, but it often rhymes.

Author

Zorrays Junaid

Zorrays Junaid

Alchemy Markets

Zorrays Junaid has extensive combined experience in the financial markets as a portfolio manager and trading coach. More recently, he is an Analyst with Alchemy Markets, and has contributed to DailyFX and Elliott Wave Forecast in the past.

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