Sterling is trading lower across the board today after the latest UK GDP figures revealed a worrying reliance on consumer spending which has continued to outstrip real wage growth. The FTSE 100 is little changed and trades lower by around 5 points at the time of writing.

Unsustainable consumer spending

Despite the UK economy growing by 0.4% in the 3 months to September, which was inline with expectations, there are some worrying signs that a slowdown lies ahead. When you consider that this growth has been fuelled by a 0.6% rise in consumer spending there are serious questions raised as to the sustainability of this level of economic performance going forward. A change in vehicle excise duty saw a rush to increase spending on cars, and this was one of the main drivers of the rise amongst consumers. The boost is likely to be short-lived however. These figures come less than 24 hours after the OBR made several downward revisions to their growth forecasts with lower than previously thought productivity in the years ahead seen as a dampening force on economic growth. Whilst the pound has seen some selling today it remains higher on the week and the exchange rate against the US dollar came within a whisker of hitting a 7-week high during the Asian session after moving above the 1.33 handle.

Centrica shares drop by most in 20 years

There has been some widespread selling seen in Centrica this morning with the owner of British Gas forced to reassure investors that it would maintain its dividend despite heavy customer losses and an increasing pressure to cut prices. A decline in excess of 16% marks the largest drop since 1997 - shortly after the firm was listed - and investors are seemingly bailing out of the stock after the firm announced that more than 800,000 domestic energy customers had taken their business elsewhere in just four months.  ​

 

CFD’s, Options and Forex are leveraged products which can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit. These products may not be suitable for all investors and you should seek independent advice if necessary.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD could extend the recovery to 0.6500 and above

AUD/USD could extend the recovery to 0.6500 and above

The enhanced risk appetite and the weakening of the Greenback enabled AUD/USD to build on the promising start to the week and trade closer to the key barrier at 0.6500 the figure ahead of key inflation figures in Australia.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD extended its positive momentum and rose above the 1.0700 yardstick, driven by the intense PMI-led retracement in the US Dollar as well as a prevailing risk-friendly environment in the FX universe.

EUR/USD News

Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

Gold reversed its direction and rose to the $2,320 area, erasing a large portion of its daily losses in the process. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red below 4.6% following the weak US PMI data and supports XAU/USD.

Gold News

Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure

Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure

Bitcoin (BTC) price strength continues to grow, three days after the fourth halving. Optimism continues to abound in the market as Bitcoiners envision a reclamation of previous cycle highs.

Read more

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Federal Reserve might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone. 

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures