|

Positive risk sentiment after Powell statements

Important news this week

  • Wed, 27th, 03:30 CET        AU        Consumer prices index.
  • Thu, 28th, 14:30 CET        US        Gross domestic product.
  • Fri, 29th, 14:30 CET        CA        Gross domestic product.
  • Fri, 29th, 14:30 CET        US        Core PCE price index.

Powell policies

Despite recent statements that Jerome Powell might cut rates in September economic data might still print a different picture. Friday’s PCE deflator could show a rise in inflationary pressure, which might signal that a rate cut would too early. Just the expectation alone caused stock markets to move higher as the Dollar weakened. Furthermore the added tariffs did not flare up much in the data but might show some impact at some point. After inventories have been used up data and rising prices might be the result.     

Market talk

Due to the weakness of the Dollar equities continued their way higher on Friday. The positive sentiment might now continue as the Fed is expected to cut rates in September as Jerome Powell pointed out during his speech in Jackson Hole. The positive sentiment continues to also lift metals and oil as well as the crypto space. Despite the slight correction in some tokens the upside might continue ignited as well by positive sentiment in the Nasdaq. With only limited economic data on the calendar the focus might be on Friday’s PCE price index, which is usually the main focus for rate decisions by the Federal Reserve.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities positive, USD weaker, BTC sideways, ETH positive, oil positive, Silver positive, Gold sideways, JPY sideways.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.