|

Playing the Whipsaws and the Stock Rebound Ahead Profitably

Bouncing off yesterday’s new 2020 intraday lows, the S&P 500 closed higher on the day. But what about today’s premarket action? The bulls didn’t add to their gains in the overnight trading. With the futures back below 2400, where next for the stock market?

Let’s start with the weekly chart to see the shape of things this very moment (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). 

fxsoriginal

While the week is far from over, the price action smacks of a reversal in the making. Accounting for yesterday’s session, the volume appears on track to beat last week’s one. Should weekly closing prices stick around this level, that would support the likelihood of a turnaround. But what kind of a turnaround? It’s our opinion that this would most likely mark a temporary respite only.

Let’s move on to the daily chart.

fxsoriginal

Similarly to Friday, stocks rebounded yesterday. While that appears encouraging, let’s examine whether our yesterday’s notes remain up-to-date also today:

(…) The daily indicators maintain their very extended posture. While that’s no guarantee of a stock rebound, another relief rally might be due in short order.

The potential for a rebound is stronger today than has been yesterday, and it’s not just because of the potential next Fed move later today that might spur buying. It’s the daily indicators – they’re refusing to budge much lower with each daily slide (that speaks to prices being overextended to the downside), and Stochastics has even flashed its buy signal. While the signal came in its oversold area and thus is not as reliable as the one generated outside this range, it’s still notable. 

That’s because should prices remain roughly unchanged today, or even move higher, Stochastics is likely to wave goodbye to its oversold area, lending more credibility to its buy signal. And that would increase the likelihood of more traders jumping in on the unfolding upswing.

Therefore, the current price point offers an opportune entry point from the risk reward perspective – just like our yesterday’s profitable long trade did. Time for some more profits! The full details are reserved for our subscribers.

Summing up, while the bears have the upper hand, the potential for an upswing is growing day by day. And we plan to cash in on that just like we did yesterday. This is primarily supported by the daily indicators’ posture. Our subscribers have the trading position details. 


Want free follow-ups to the above article and details not available to 99%+ investors? Sign up to our free newsletter today!


Want free follow-ups to the above article and details not available to 99%+ investors? Sign up to our free newsletter today!

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD stays offered, breaks below 1.1400…again

EUR/USD adds to Tuesday’s slight losses and drops below the 1.1400 yardstick in the latter part of Wednesday’s NA session. The pair’s decline comes in response to the persistent recovery in the US Dollar, which seems to have met extra support following the cautious tone from Fed’s Warsh in his comments at the ECB Forum.

Gold retreats from tops, back to the sub-$4,100 zone

Gold keeps the bullish performance in place on Wednesday, although is now giving away part of its earlier advance past the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s marked rebound comes despite the US Dollar’s bid bias, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and positive headlines from the Middle East.


A preview of NFP

The number is of much greater importance than usual as the Fed moves away from a forecasting framework and towards a current-data / rebuilding-credibility framework.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stay under pressure as investors turn more risk-averse

The cryptocurrency market trades under intense headwinds on Wednesday, led by Bitcoin’s (BTC) deepening sell-off below $60,000. The Crypto King hovers above $58,000.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.