|

Patterns: GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, USD/ILS, USD/MXN

GBP/AUD 4H Chart: Breakout could occur

The British Pound has declined by 1.18% against the Australian Dollar since February 2. The GBP/AUD currency pair tested the lower boundary of an ascending channel pattern at 1.7810 on February 12.

Currently, the exchange rate is trading near the lower line of the channel pattern and could be set for a breakout.

If the breakout occurs, a decline towards the 1.7600 level could be expected during the following trading sessions.

However, if the ascending channel holds, bullish traders would pressure the currency exchange rate higher within this week's trading sessions.

GBPAUD

GBP/CAD 4H Chart: Could edge higher

The Pound Sterling has surged by 1.31% against the Canadian Dollar since February 4. The GBP/CAD currency pair breached the 1.7600 level during this week's trading sessions.

All things being equal, the exchange rate could continue to edge higher in an ascending channel pattern during the following trading sessions. The potential target for bullish traders would be near the 1.7800 level.

However, a support cluster near the 1.7540 area could provide support for the currency exchange rate in the shorter term.

GBPCAD

USD/ILS 4H Chart: Two scenarios likely

At the middle of January, the USD/ILS exchange rate reversed north from the psychological level at 3.1200.

From the one hand, it is likely that the currency pair could gain support from the 200-period moving average near 3.2400. Thus, some upside potential could prevail in the market, and the pair could target the Fibo 50.00% at 3.4530.

From the other hand, it is likely that the exchange rate could be pushed down by the 55-period moving average near 3.2800. Thus, some downside potential could prevail in the market.

USDILS

USD/MXN 4H Chart: Downside potential could prevail

Since the middle of September, the USD/MXN currency pair has been trading within a falling wedge pattern.

From a theoretical point of view, it is likely that the exchange rate could continue to decline within the predetermined pattern in the medium term. The rate could decline below 19.50 by the middle of March.

In the meantime, it is unlikely that bulls could prevail in the market, and the currency pair could exceed the Fibonacci 61.80% retracement at 20.87.

USDMXN

Author

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank Team

Dukascopy Bank SA

Dukascopy Bank stands as an innovative Swiss online banking institution, with its headquarters situated in Geneva, Switzerland.

More from Dukascopy Bank Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.