Patterns: EUR/SGD, ZAR/JPY

EUR/SGD 1H Chart: Soon breakout from channel

The Euro against the Singaporean Dollar has been trading in a channel down for the past seven weeks. The last up-wave was initiated late in September when the rate bounced off the monthly S1 at 1.5940. The subsequent gradual appreciation resulted in the formation of a channel up. Given the characteristics of the senior pattern, it is likely that the Euro tries to push for its bottom boundary in the 1.5800/1.5850 area in the medium term. However, technical indicators suggest that there is still some upside potential that could be realised either today or next week. By and large, the daily time-frame demonstrates that this movement downwards might be just a correction towards the general up-trend. Thus, medium-term appreciation could be expected, especially if the rate fails to breach the weekly PP and the 200-hour SMA at 1.6015.



ZAR/JPY 1H Chart: Approaches channel line

The South African Rand has weakened against the Japanese Yen for the last six weeks—a movement which has been confined in a descending channel. During its last wave up, the pair has formed an ascending wedge. It is expected that this pattern is breached in this session and, given its bearish characteristics, a breakout is likely to occur to the downside. This scenario would be in line with the senior channel, as the rate is close to reaching its upper boundary. A significant support is provided by the 55-, 200– and 100-hour SMAs and the weekly PP in the 8.24/28 territory. This area could introduce some changes to the aforementioned fall. As a result, the lower channel boundary might not actually be reached, giving the Rand an opportunity to surge.


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