|

Oil Sticking at $50

Oil again didn't manage to strengthen above $50. It spent the best part of yesterday trading in a $50.3 – $50.7 range per barrel of Brent. However, in the evening the price began to fall and by Tuesday morning it had dropped to $49.55. It's most likely that oil was reacting to world stock markets switching from growth to correction.

The majority of Asian stock markets have met Tuesday in the red zone. The Nikkei 225 fell by 0.9%. The ASX Australia was down 1.0%. The Shanghai Composite rose by 0.5%, and the Hang Seng lost 0.8%. Futures for the S&P500 were trading at 2093; 0.2% down on the previous trading day.

The Chinese central bank announced that it will use various instruments to support an optimal volume of liquidity and that of credit and societal borrowing. The People's Bank of China will continue with its reserved monetary policy: simultaneously preserving neither an approach that is too lax, nor one that is to firm. The regulator made this clear in an announcement published after a currency policy meeting for Q2. The central bank will improve financing and credit structures, increasing the share of direct financing, whilst lowering the cost of societal borrowing.

The USD was trading slightly up against the yuan at 6.6692 (+0.0039 or +0.06%).

Yesterday's May EU producer price index was higher (in the current deflationary climate: better) than expected. PPI MoM rose 0.6% (expected: 0.3%), down 3.9% YoY (expected: 4.1%). These stats offered temporary support to the EUR/USD which strengthened from 1.1100 to 1.1160, but there wasn't much optimism for long as by Tuesday morning the rate had dropped to 1.1130. Today will see Europe publish business activity indices for the service sector in June and the Bank of England's Mark Carney will speak after a report on financial stability in the UK. The US will see stats for May manufacturing orders and by the end of the day the Fed's Dudley will speak.

Author

Alpari Team of Analysts

Alpari was founded in 1998 and is one of the world’s leading Forex brokers, offering clients a full package of the most modern financial instruments and technological solutions for online trading and investment.

More from Alpari Team of Analysts
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).