|

My Jackson Hole plan

S&P 500 sucked in fresh ATH buyers, and then the rug pull came taking ES not just to my 5,615 support, but all the way to 5,585 one. Intraday clients profited on both sides yesterday, and in futures and options alike – I didn‘t trust the 5,638 intraday level to hold. How best to secure fresh liquidity today? SPY price recovery and a shakedown attempt, or just some FOMO?

We saw some nice action in the Russell 2000 bucking the retreating rate cut odds, which were the real macroeconomic driver of yesterday‘s rejection of the elevator up ride off the „BoJ mea culpa“ dust having settled – and paradoxically adding fresh fuel to the rally in the days gone by.

What‘s notable, is the precious metals price action, and I released early in the week‘s premium prediction for how gold and silver would fare. Needless to say, fresh calls have been already made to clients over their premium Telegram, and that concerns oil as well, flirting with the $72 - $73 zone for a day more.

Here is what yesterday‘s S&P 500 session did to VIX and yields, and further calls are featured for clients.

VIX
Chart

Author

Monica Kingsley

Monica Kingsley

Monicakingsley

Monica Kingsley is a trader and financial analyst serving countless investors and traders since Feb 2020.

More from Monica Kingsley
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.