Dollar Index and Euro are headed towards 104 and 1.06/0650 while EURJPY is headed towards resistance at 145. Pound and Aussie can test 1.25/26 and 0.68/69 respectively and look bullish from current levels. Dollar Yen holds below 138 and can fall to 135-132-130 in the medium term while USDRUB could range within 60-64. USDCNY is bearish while below 7.00 and could slowly move towards 6.90/88. USDINR can test 82.25/00 before bouncing back towards 82.75/83.00 while EURINR can test 87-88 while above 85.50.

The US Treasury yields have inched up slightly. There is still room left of the downside to test the key supports before a strong reversal happens. The German yields have inched up but are likely to be short-lived. A further fall is possible from current levels. The 10Yr and 5Yr GoI have moved up and seems to be gaining strength. A strong break above the immediate resistance will turn the outlook bullish and will negate the danger of a fall.

Dow is holding well above the support at 33500 and is attempting to bounce back from there. DAX tested 14200 as expected and is trying to bounce back. Nikkei has rebounded and if the bounce sustains a rise towards immediate resistance is possible. Shanghai may remain range bound while below 3225. Nifty is holding up well above the support at 18500 and while above it there is scope to rise to our expected level.

Brent and WTI have come down further but the key supports on the downside is expected to hold and produce a bounce back from there. Gold has scope to rise towards 1825 while Silver and Copper can target further upside on sustained break above 23.50 and 3.90/3.93 respectively.


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The above views are based on the latest available information. Though the information sources are believed to be reliable, the information is not guaranteed for accuracy. While the views are proffered with the best of intentions, neither the author, nor the firm are liable for any losses that may occur as a result of any action based on the above. World financial markets, and especially the Foreign Exchange markets, are inherently risky and it is assumed that those who trade these markets are fully aware of the risk of real loss involved.

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