Early indicators in 2019 show signs of resilience in priv. consumption & risks associated with external demand. Inflation has had a great start to 2019: the cumulative increase of 0.1 pp in Jan-Feb is the lowest since 2015, a year in which infl. reached an all-time low. Recovery of domestic assets in an environment of less domestic uncertainty and monetary pause in the US.

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EUR/USD bouncing modestly on disappointing US Consumer Confidence

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