|

Markets are Down on Higher Volatility

Highlights

  • Markets are Down on Higher Volatility

  • Commodity Currencies Gaining

  • Confidence & Fischer

Please note: All data, figures & graphs below are valid as of September 27th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose.

Markets are Moving

European and US markets took a very singular direction in yesterday's sessions, and that direction was down. Leading the losses is the Ger30 with minus 2.19% and Fra40 with 1.8%. The US losses were a bit more tame, just under 1% for the DJ30 and SPX500.

Meanwhile, volatility is up again, with the VIX reading 14.5.

So far today, Asian stocks are more or less flat but the currency markets are on the move. Here we can see moves of about 0.5% on the AUD, NZD, and JPY, which is quite impressive for FX.

USD

Also, these moves point to a risk-on sentiment in the markets as the risky currencies are gaining against the safety currencies.

It's also interesting to note that the 3 biggest gainers are the commodity currencies, and they are gaining despite losses in Gold and Silver, while we wait for any word from the unofficial OPEC meeting in Algeria.

The gains in the Loony could be trumped up to Trump, but the Aussie and Kiwi are probably not responding to the debate.

Looking Forward

Today we have a few interesting announcements on the calendar including European M3 Money Supply and Private Loans in just a few moments.

Later on, early in the US session we'll get the consumer confidence figures from American households, followed by a speech from vice-chair of the Federal Reserve Stanley Fisher.

Tomorrow is a big day as well as we have speeches from both Mario Draghi and Janet Yellen as well as other central bankers who would like their voices heard.

Central Bank Love

In the meantime, let's take a quick look at the Fed's current relationship with the markets.

Chart

Disclaimer: I don't think this was actually taken from BofA Merrill Lynch.

Just as a quick final note, I'd like to show the Bloomberg implied probability of a rate hike in December (blue line) which is now back to a coin-flip...

Probabilities

Author

Mati Greenspan

Mati Greenspan

eToro Cyprus

Producing social finance marketing materials by E-mail, blogs, and videos. Project manager for the eToro Blog Site, assisting paid users to submit content. Assisting VIP clients to deposit and manage portfolios of ov

More from Mati Greenspan
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.