FX News Today
The 20-year Treasury yields are down -1.3 bp at 2.814%, as the sell off in stock markets, continued during the Asian session. – Topix and Nikkei are down -1.99% and -1.82% respectively.
Dovish RBA minutes: No strong case for a change in monetary policy.
China’s President Xi Jinping offered no fresh stimulus plans or a further opening of the economy in his keynote speech to mark 40-years of Chinese reforms.
Concerns raises over the outlook for Chinese and World Growth amid ongoing trade tensions weighed on sentiment.
US stock futures are slightly higher though as the Fed decision comes into view with Powell expected to confirm that the central bank will switch from autopilot to data dependency on rate hikes after the widely expected move this week.
USA500 closed at the lowest level in 14 months.
Oil prices declined and the WTI future fell back to $48.93 per barrel, as risk of demand destruction hits prices.
Charts of the Day
Main Macro Events Today
German Ifo Business Climate – Expectations – to fall back to 101.7 from 102.0 in November, with the expectations reading in particular under pressure. The manufacturing sector looking shaky again amid fresh challenges for the automobile sector, which continues to struggle with emissions standards and the lingering diesel scandal, which has considerably undermined confidence, especially in Germany where consumers are facing driving bans without compensation from producers.
US housing starts – Expectations – They are estimated slipping 0.2% to a 1.225 mln pace in November, after a 1.5% gain to 1.228 mln in October.
Canadian Manufacturing shipments – Expectations – They are expected to rise 0.5% in October after the 0.2% gain in September.
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EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.
GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data
GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.
Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike
Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.
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Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda
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